IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparing Spillover Effects Among Emerging Markets With A Higher (Lower) Share Of Commodity Exports: Evidence From The Two Major Crises


  • Murad A. BEIN

    () (Department of Accounting and Finance, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Cyprus International University Lefkosa, North Cyprus, Turkey)

  • Gulcay TUNA

    () (Department of Economics, Faculty of Business and Economics Eastern Mediterranean University Famagusta, Turkey)


The paper empirically analyses the spillover into emerging markets with a higher (lower) share of commodity exports during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis (ESDC). To investigate such spillover effects, a group of rapidly growing emerging economies collectively known as BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) is selected. The findings of the paper are as follows. First, a substantial increase in the average conditional correlation is noticed within all BRICS stock markets during the GFC. When considering the ESDC period, we also observed an increase in all markets, except for Brazil. Furthermore, the dynamic evaluation significantly increased from 2007 and it remained high during the ESDC. Second, trade profiles can help in explaining the spillover and correlation levels between emerging and developed markets. Among the BRICS countries, Brazil, Russia and South Africa heavily depend on commodity exports and the results show that these economies have a higher correlation with the developed economies. Further, Brazil and Russia are the most volatile when compared to the other BRICS countries, since these countries’ commodities are dominated by food and agricultural exports and fuel and agricultural exports, respectively.

Suggested Citation

  • Murad A. BEIN & Gulcay TUNA, 2016. "Comparing Spillover Effects Among Emerging Markets With A Higher (Lower) Share Of Commodity Exports: Evidence From The Two Major Crises," ECONOMIC COMPUTATION AND ECONOMIC CYBERNETICS STUDIES AND RESEARCH, Faculty of Economic Cybernetics, Statistics and Informatics, vol. 50(3), pages 265-284.
  • Handle: RePEc:cys:ecocyb:v:50:y:2016:i:3:p:265-284

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Dimitriou, Dimitrios & Kenourgios, Dimitris & Simos, Theodore, 2013. "Global financial crisis and emerging stock market contagion: A multivariate FIAPARCH–DCC approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 46-56.
    2. Kristin J. Forbes & Roberto Rigobon, 2002. "No Contagion, Only Interdependence: Measuring Stock Market Comovements," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(5), pages 2223-2261, October.
    3. Aloui, Riadh & Aïssa, Mohamed Safouane Ben & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2011. "Global financial crisis, extreme interdependences, and contagion effects: The role of economic structure?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 130-141, January.
    4. Chiang, Thomas C. & Jeon, Bang Nam & Li, Huimin, 2007. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1206-1228, November.
    5. Murad A.Bein & Gulcay TUNA, 2015. "Volatility Transmission and Dynamic Correlation Analysis between Developed and Emerging European Stock Markets during Sovereign Debt Crisis," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 61-80, June.
    6. Syllignakis, Manolis N. & Kouretas, Georgios P., 2011. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from the Central and Eastern European markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 717-732, October.
    7. Kristin J. Forbes, 2002. "Are Trade Linkages Important Determinants of Country Vulnerability to Crises?," NBER Chapters,in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 77-132 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Go Tamakoshi & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2013. "An asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation analysis of linkages of European financial institutions during the Greek sovereign debt crisis," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(10), pages 939-950, November.
    9. Ülkü, Numan & Demirci, Ebru, 2012. "Joint dynamics of foreign exchange and stock markets in emerging Europe," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 55-86.
    10. Ning, Cathy, 2010. "Dependence structure between the equity market and the foreign exchange market-A copula approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 743-759, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    Commodity exports; stock market co-movements; volatility transmission; DCC-GARCH; Crisis.;

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cys:ecocyb:v:50:y:2016:i:3:p:265-284. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Corina Saman). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.