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Growth And Welfare Effects Of Macroprudential Regulation

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  • Agénor, Pierre-Richard

Abstract

This paper studies the growth and welfare effects of macroprudential regulation in an overlapping generations model of endogenous growth with banking and agency costs. Indivisible investment projects combine with informational imperfections to create a double moral hazard problem à la Holmström–Tirole and a role for bank monitoring. When the optimal monitoring intensity is endogenously determined, an increase in the required reserve ratio (motivated by systemic risk considerations) has conflicting effects on investment and growth. On one hand, requiring banks to put away a fraction of the deposits that they receive reduces the supply of loanable funds. On the other, a higher required ratio raises incentives to save and mitigates banks' incentives to monitor, thereby lowering monitoring costs and freeing up resources to increase lending. In addition, it may mitigate the systemic risk externality associated with excessive leverage. This trade-off can be internalized by choosing the required reserve ratio that maximizes growth and welfare. However, the risk of disintermediation means that in practice financial supervision may also need to be strengthened, and the perimeter of regulation broadened, if the optimal ratio is relatively high.

Suggested Citation

  • Agénor, Pierre-Richard, 2019. "Growth And Welfare Effects Of Macroprudential Regulation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3140-3162, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:macdyn:v:23:y:2019:i:8:p:3140-3162_4
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz A. Pereira da Silva, 2021. "Capital requirements, risk-taking and welfare in a growing economy," Journal of Regulatory Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 167-192, December.
    2. Sun, Sha & Qian, Gong & Yu, Jingjing, 2024. "The impacts of China's shadow banking regulation on bank lending—An empirical analysis based on textual analysis and machine learning," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    3. Ahnert, Toni & Forbes, Kristin & Friedrich, Christian & Reinhardt, Dennis, 2021. "Macroprudential FX regulations: Shifting the snowbanks of FX vulnerability?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 145-174.
    4. Marwan Alzoubi, 2025. "Liquidity funding and lending in MENA," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 26(3), pages 464-473, September.
    5. Arne Heise, 2023. "A Keynesian–Minskian perspective on the transformation of industrial into financial capitalism," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 33(4), pages 963-990, September.
    6. Ms. Juliana Dutra Araujo & Manasa Patnam & Ms. Adina Popescu & Mr. Fabian Valencia & Weijia Yao, 2020. "Effects of Macroprudential Policy: Evidence from Over 6,000 Estimates," IMF Working Papers 2020/067, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2023. "Capital requirements and growth in an open economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    8. Araujo, Juliana & Patnam, Manasa & Popescu, Adina & Valencia, Fabian & Yao, Weijia, 2024. "Effects of macroprudential policy: Evidence from over 6000 estimates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    9. Rauber, Tom & Ritschel, Paul, 2024. "Banking competition and capital dependence of the production sector: Growth and welfare implications," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 676-698.
    10. Ananou, Foly & Chronopoulos, Dimitris K. & Tarazi, Amine & Wilson, John O.S., 2021. "Liquidity regulation and bank lending," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Kozlovtceva, Irina & Penikas, Henry & Petreneva, Ekaterina & Ushakova, Yulia, 2022. "Macroprudential policy efficiency in Russia: Assessment for the uncollateralized consumer loans," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    12. Neanidis, Kyriakos C., 2019. "Volatile capital flows and economic growth: The role of banking supervision," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 77-93.

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