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Animal Disease Pre-Event Preparedness versus Post-Event Response: When Is It Economic to Protect?

Author

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  • Elbakidze, Levan
  • McCarl, Bruce A.

Abstract

We examine the economic tradeoff between the costs of pre-event preparedness and post-event response to the potential introduction of an infectious animal disease. In a simplified case study setting, we examine the conditions for optimality of an enhanced pre-event detection system considering various characteristics of a potential infectious cattle disease outbreak, costs of program implementation, severity of the disease outbreak, and relative effectiveness of postevent response actions. We show that the decision to invest in pre-event preparedness activities depends on such factors as probability of disease introduction, disease spread rate, relative costs, ancillary benefits, and effectiveness of mitigation strategies.

Suggested Citation

  • Elbakidze, Levan & McCarl, Bruce A., 2006. "Animal Disease Pre-Event Preparedness versus Post-Event Response: When Is It Economic to Protect?," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 38(2), pages 327-336, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:cup:jagaec:v:38:y:2006:i:02:p:327-336_02
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    Cited by:

    1. Arnaud Rault & Stéphane Krebs, 2011. "Catastrophic risk and risk management, what do we know about livestock epidemics? State of the art and prospects," Working Papers SMART 11-05, INRAE UMR SMART.
    2. He, Fei & Zhuang, Jun, 2016. "Balancing pre-disaster preparedness and post-disaster relief," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 252(1), pages 246-256.
    3. Rault, Arnaud & Krebs, Stephane, 2011. "Livestock epidemics and catastrophic risk management: State of the art and prospects on economic dynamics," 2011 International Congress, August 30-September 2, 2011, Zurich, Switzerland 114793, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Kobayashi, Mimako & Melkonyan, Tigran A., 2011. "Strategic Incentives in Biosecurity Actions: Theoretical and Empirical Analyses," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 36(2), pages 1-21, July.
    5. Alexandre Cordier & Jean Gohin & Stephane Krebs & Arnaud Rault, 2013. "Dynamic Impacts of a Catastrophic Production Event: The Foot‐and‐Mouth Disease Case," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 33(3), pages 480-492, March.
    6. Anne Meyer & Jay Weiker & Rory Meyer, 2023. "Laboratory testing and on-site storage are successful at mitigating the risk of release of foot-and-mouth disease virus via production of bull semen in the USA," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 18(11), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Elbakidze, Levan, 2008. "Modeling of Avian Influenza Mitigation Policies Within the Backyard Segment of the Poultry Sector," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 33(2), pages 1-17.
    8. Ralph L. Keeney & Robin Gregory & Paul Slovic, 2025. "Proactively Planning for Possible Future Crises," Decision Analysis, INFORMS, vol. 22(4), pages 273-283, December.
    9. Boisvert, Richard N. & Kay, David & Turvey, Calum G., 2012. "Macroeconomic costs to large scale disruptions of food production: The case of foot- and-mouth disease in the United States," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1921-1930.
    10. Bahalou Horeh, Marziyeh & Elbakidze, Levan, 2020. "Economic Efficiency of Food Safety Modernization Act: Preventing Illnesses from Contaminated Water," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304637, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Elbakidze, Levan, 2007. "Economic Benefits Of Animal Tracing In The Cattle Production Sector," 2007 Annual Meeting, July 29-August 1, 2007, Portland, Oregon 9510, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    12. Levan Elbakidze & Linda Highfield & Michael Ward & Bruce A. McCarl & Bo Norby, 2009. "Economics Analysis of Mitigation Strategies for FMD Introduction in Highly Concentrated Animal Feeding Regions," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 31(4), pages 931-950, December.
    13. Longworth, Natasha & Jongeneel, Roelof A. & Saatkamp, H.W. & Huirne, Ruud B.M., 2008. "Is prevention better than cure? An empirical investigation for the case of Avian Influenza," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44200, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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