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Für ein Viertel der älteren Beschäftigten in Sachsen könnte bald der Nachwuchs fehlen

Author

Listed:
  • DavidBauer
  • JuliaSonnenburg
  • MichaelWeber

Abstract

In Sachsen könnte bis zum Jahr 2030 für jeden vierten älteren Beschäftigten passend ausgebildeter Nachwuchs fehlen. Dies ergeben Berechnungen des ifo Instituts für das Sächsische Staatsministerium der Finanzen. Demnach dürften Akademikerstellen schwieriger nachzubesetzen sein als Stellen, die eine Berufsausbildung erfordern. Nachwuchssorgen sind insbesondere in Sicherheits-, Lehr- und Verwaltungsberufen zu erwarten. Dadurch ist der öffentliche Dienst von den Nachbesetzungsschwierigkeiten besonders betroffen. Die Herausforderungen ließen sich abmildern, wenn Aus- und Weiterbildungsaktivitäten stärker am künftigen achbesetzungsbedarf ausgerichtet werden. Die Digitalisierung dürfte dagegen nur wenig helfen, die Situation insbesondere in „Mangelberufen“ zu entspannen.

Suggested Citation

  • DavidBauer & JuliaSonnenburg & MichaelWeber, 2018. "Für ein Viertel der älteren Beschäftigten in Sachsen könnte bald der Nachwuchs fehlen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 25(03), pages 03-08, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:25:y:2018:i:03:p:03-08
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo-group.de/DocDL/ifoDD_18-03_03-08_Bauer.pdf
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    1. repec:ces:ifodrs:81 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. repec:ces:ifodre:v:24:y:2017:i:05:p:31-34 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:12:p:30-83 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:ces:ifosdt:v:70:y:2017:i:24:p:28-81 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Ältere Arbeitskräfte; Altersstruktur; Personalplanung; Personalmanagement; Sachsen;

    JEL classification:

    • J14 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of the Elderly; Economics of the Handicapped; Non-Labor Market Discrimination
    • J24 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Human Capital; Skills; Occupational Choice; Labor Productivity
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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