IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/cbu/jrnlec/y2022v6p4-10.html

Estimating Volatility Clustering Using Gjr-Garch Model: A Case Study For German Stock Market

Author

Listed:
  • RACHANA BAID

    (NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF SECURITIES MARKETS, INDIA)

  • CRISTI SPULBAR

    (FACULTY OF ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, UNIVERSITY OF CRAIOVA, CRAIOVA, ROMANIA)

  • JATIN TRIVEDI

    (NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF SECURITIES MARKETS, INDIA)

  • RAMONA BIRAU

    (FACULTY OF ECONOMIC SCIENCE, UNIVERSITY CONSTANTIN BRANCUSI, TG-JIU, ROMANIA)

  • ANCA IOANA IACOB (TROTO)

    (UNIVERSITY OF CRAIOVA, DOCTORAL SCHOOL OF ECONOMIC SCIENCES, CRAIOVA, ROMANIA)

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to concentrate on the stylized data in the financial series of the major index DAX of the German stock market. Moreover, we investigated the effects of positive and negative news on the volatility of the stock market of Germany, such as DAX index. One of the most fascinating topics for investor research is the financial market volatility of an emerging financial market. Because of this, factorial risks and the likelihood of larger returns are increased. We take into account daily OBS (observations) in the number of 4037 for the sample period January 2007 to November 2022. The study used the GJR-GARCH, or Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedisticity type model. We discovered that the DAX index financial series feature a dynamic volatility scale. The GJR-GARCH model was fitted and the stronger impact of innovations was discovered.

Suggested Citation

  • Rachana Baid & Cristi Spulbar & Jatin Trivedi & Ramona Birau & Anca Ioana Iacob (Troto), 2022. "Estimating Volatility Clustering Using Gjr-Garch Model: A Case Study For German Stock Market," Annals - Economy Series, Constantin Brancusi University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 6, pages 4-10, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbu:jrnlec:y:2022:v:6:p:4-10
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.utgjiu.ro/revista/ec/pdf/2022-06/01_Baid.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kaan Celebi & Michaela Hönig, 2019. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on the German Stock Market: Evidence for the Crisis, Pre- and Post-Crisis Periods," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-13, March.
    2. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    3. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & Andreia Dionisio & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2020. "EU Stock Markets vs. Germany, UK and US: Analysis of Dynamic Comovements Using Time-Varying DCCA Correlation Coefficients," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-23, May.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    5. Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993. "On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.
    6. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Giraitis, Liudas & Leipus, Remigijus & Robinson, Peter M. & Surgailis, Donatas, 2004. "LARCH, leverage, and long memory," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 294, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Naqvi, Bushra & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas, 2023. "Shanghai crude oil futures: Returns Independence, volatility asymmetry, and hedging potential," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    3. Chang, Chia-Lin & Hsu, Hui-Kuang, 2013. "Modelling Volatility Size Effects for Firm Performance: The Impact of Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," MPRA Paper 45691, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Cristiana Tudor & Aura Girlovan & Gabriel Robert Saiu & Daniel Dumitru Guse, 2025. "Asymmetric Shocks and Pension Fund Volatility: A GARCH Approach with Macroeconomic Predictors to an Unexplored Emerging Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-29, March.
    5. Roy Havemann & Henk Janse van Vuuren & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "The bond market impact of the South African Reserve Bank bond purchase programme," ERSA Working Paper Series, Economic Research Southern Africa, vol. 0.
    6. repec:wyi:journl:002087 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Qingfeng Liu & Qingsong Yao & Guoqing Zhao, 2020. "Model averaging estimation for conditional volatility models with an application to stock market volatility forecast," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(5), pages 841-863, August.
    8. Carlos Escanciano, J., 2008. "Joint and marginal specification tests for conditional mean and variance models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 143(1), pages 74-87, March.
    9. Marcel Bräutigam & Marie Kratz, 2019. "Bivariate FCLT for the Sample Quantile and Measures of Dispersion for Augmented GARCH(p, q) processes," Working Papers hal-02176276, HAL.
    10. Kumari, Jyoti, 2019. "Investor sentiment and stock market liquidity: Evidence from an emerging economy," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 166-180.
    11. Ricardo Alberola, 2007. "Estimating Volatility Returns Using ARCH Models. An Empirical Case: The Spanish Energy Market," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE.
    12. Chia-Lin Chang & Shu-Han Hsu & Michael McAleer, 2018. "An Event Study Analysis of Political Events, Disasters, and Accidents for Chinese Tourists to Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-77, November.
    13. Ataurima Arellano, Miguel & Rodríguez, Gabriel, 2020. "Empirical modeling of high-income and emerging stock and Forex market return volatility using Markov-switching GARCH models," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    14. Chia-Lin Chang & Tai-Lin Hsieh & Michael McAleer, 2016. "Connecting VIX and Stock Index ETF," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-010/III, Tinbergen Institute, revised 23 Jan 2017.
    15. Timotheos Angelidis & Stavros Degiannakis, 2005. "Modeling risk for long and short trading positions," Journal of Risk Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 6(3), pages 226-238, July.
    16. Eric Beutner & Alexander Heinemann & Stephan Smeekes, 2019. "A General Framework for Prediction in Time Series Models," Papers 1902.01622, arXiv.org.
    17. Stentoft, Lars, 2005. "Pricing American options when the underlying asset follows GARCH processes," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 576-611, September.
    18. Jun Lu & Shao Yi, 2022. "Reducing Overestimating and Underestimating Volatility via the Augmented Blending-ARCH Model," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 9(2), pages 48-59, May.
    19. Jamal Bouoiyour & Refk Selmi, 2015. "Exchange volatility and export performance in Egypt: New insights from wavelet decomposition and optimal GARCH model," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 201-227, March.
    20. Altaf Muhammad & Zhang Shuguang, 2015. "Impact Of Structural Shifts on Variance Persistence in Asymmetric Garch Models: Evidence From Emerging Asian and European Markets," Romanian Statistical Review, Romanian Statistical Review, vol. 63(1), pages 57-70, March.
    21. Eunho Koo & Geonwoo Kim, 2023. "A New Neural Network Approach for Predicting the Volatility of Stock Market," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 61(4), pages 1665-1679, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cbu:jrnlec:y:2022:v:6:p:4-10. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ecobici Nicolae The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Ecobici Nicolae to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fetgjro.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.