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(Un)anticipated Technological Change in an Endogenous Growth Model

Author

Listed:
  • Conway Bruce A

    () (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

  • Rosenblatt-Wisch Rina

    () (Swiss National Bank)

  • Schenk-Hoppé Klaus Reiner

    () (University of Leeds)

Abstract

This paper examines, numerically, the impact of a negative exogenous shock to marginal productivity (such as ecological government regulation that becomes effective at some point in time) in an endogenous finite time growth model with sluggish reallocation of human capital. The policy can be anticipated or unanticipated by the economic agents, and it can also be announced but not implemented. It turns out that these frictions have very strong long-run effects on consumption and output, and on the optimal allocation of capital and labor in particular. The qualitative properties are closely related to those found in homogenous labor models with positive productivity shocks. The numerical optimization method employed here proved very successful in qualitatively similar problems in engineering but has not yet found its way into macroeconomic models of growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Conway Bruce A & Rosenblatt-Wisch Rina & Schenk-Hoppé Klaus Reiner, 2009. "(Un)anticipated Technological Change in an Endogenous Growth Model," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 13(1), pages 1-21, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:bpj:sndecm:v:13:y:2009:i:1:n:3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. anonymous, 1995. "Does the bouncing ball lead to economic growth?," Regional Update, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, issue Jul, pages 1-2,4-6.
    2. Robert J. Barro, 2013. "Inflation and Economic Growth," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 14(1), pages 121-144, May.
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    4. Edmund S. Phelps, 1999. "Behind This Structural Boom: The Role of Asset Valuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 89(2), pages 63-68, May.
    5. Xavier Sala-I-Martin, 1997. "Transfers, Social Safety Nets, and Economic Growth," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 44(1), pages 81-102, March.
    6. Teresa Beckham Gramm, 2005. "Costly Factor Reallocation and Reduced Productivity Effects in International Trade," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(4), pages 822-839, September.
    7. Rodolfo E. Manuelli, 2000. "Technological Change, the Labor Market and the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 8022, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    8. Edmund Phelps & Gylfi Zoega, 2001. "Structural booms," Economic Policy, CEPR;CES;MSH, vol. 16(32), pages 83-126, April.
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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