IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/reesec/v50y2022i1p247-267.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Industry Concentration and U.S. REIT Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Ying Zhang
  • J. Andrew Hansz

Abstract

The real estate investment trusts (REITs) industry has been omitted from industry concentration studies because REITs are unique, regulated companies. We fill this research gap and investigate the relationship between REIT industry concentration and its returns. First, we demonstrate that changes in concentration drive future REIT returns, and this causality is significant and unilateral. Second, we find that changes in concentration can significantly and negatively predict future REIT returns. Third, we reveal that this predictive power is asymmetric, with stronger power on equity‐REIT than mortgage‐REIT returns. We contend that greater REIT industry concentration implies less risk leading to lower future returns and vice versa.

Suggested Citation

  • Ying Zhang & J. Andrew Hansz, 2022. "Industry Concentration and U.S. REIT Returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 50(1), pages 247-267, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:50:y:2022:i:1:p:247-267
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.12278
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6229.12278
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/1540-6229.12278?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Su Han Chan & Wai Kin Leung & Ko Wang, 1998. "Institutional Investment in REITs: Evidence and Implications," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 16(3), pages 357-374.
    2. Moussa Diop, 2018. "Real Estate Investments, Product Market Competition and Stock Returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 46(2), pages 291-333, June.
    3. Brent W. Ambrose & Michael J. Highfield & Peter D. Linneman, 2005. "Real Estate and Economies of Scale: The Case of REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 33(2), pages 323-350, June.
    4. Hafer, R. W. & Sheehan, Richard G., 1989. "The sensitivity of VAR forecasts to alternative lag structures," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 5(3), pages 399-408.
    5. Walter I. Boudry, 2011. "An Examination of REIT Dividend Payout Policy," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 39(4), pages 601-634, December.
    6. Crocker H. Liu & David J. Hartzell & Martin E. Hoesli, 1997. "International Evidence on Real Estate Securities as an Inflation Hedge," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 193-221, June.
    7. Jay C. Hartzell & Tobias Mühlhofer & Sheridan D. Titman, 2010. "Alternative Benchmarks for Evaluating Mutual Fund Performance," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 121-154, March.
    8. Carhart, Mark M, 1997. "On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(1), pages 57-82, March.
    9. J. Andrew Hansz & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2017. "An Investigation into the Substitutability of Equity and Mortgage REITs in Real Estate Portfolios," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 338-364, April.
    10. Granger, C. W. J., 1988. "Some recent development in a concept of causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(1-2), pages 199-211.
    11. David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo & Benjamin Scheick, 2018. "Geographic Portfolio Allocations, Property Selection and Performance Attribution in Public and Private Real Estate Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 46(2), pages 404-448, June.
    12. Kewei Hou & David T. Robinson, 2006. "Industry Concentration and Average Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1927-1956, August.
    13. Sheridan Titman & Arthur Warga, 1986. "Risk and the Performance of Real Estate Investment Trusts: A Multiple Index Approach," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 14(3), pages 414-431, September.
    14. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, 1992. "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 20(3), pages 457-485, September.
    15. SeungHan Ro & Alan Ziobrowski, 2011. "Does Focus Really Matter? Specialized vs. Diversified REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 42(1), pages 68-83, January.
    16. David Ling & Andy Naranjo & Michael Ryngaert, 2012. "Real Estate Ownership, Leasing Intensity, and Value: Do Stock Returns Reflect a Firm’s Real Estate Holdings?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 184-202, January.
    17. Jamie Alcock & John Glascock & Eva Steiner, 2013. "Manipulation in U.S. REIT Investment Performance Evaluation: Empirical Evidence," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 434-465, October.
    18. M. Cecilia Bustamante & Andres Donangelo, 2017. "Product Market Competition and Industry Returns," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(12), pages 4216-4266.
    19. Brent W. Ambrose & Moussa Diop & Jiro Yoshida, 2017. "Product Market Competition and Corporate Real Estate Investment under Demand Uncertainty," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 45(3), pages 521-590, July.
    20. Dogan Tirtiroglu & Thu Ha Nguyen & Ercan Tirtiroglu & Tan Cheng Wee, 2017. "REITs, Growth Options and Beta," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 370-394, October.
    21. Gjergji Cici & Jack Corgel & Scott Gibson, 2011. "Can Fund Managers Select Outperforming REITs? Examining Fund Holdings and Trades," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 39(3), pages 455-486, September.
    22. Glascock, John L & Lu, Chiuling & So, Raymond W, 2000. "Further Evidence on the Integration of REIT, Bond, and Stock Returns," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 20(2), pages 177-194, March.
    23. David C. Ling & Andy Naranjo, 2015. "Returns and Information Transmission Dynamics in Public and Private Real Estate Markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 43(1), pages 163-208, March.
    24. Joseph Gyourko & Donald B. Keim, "undated". "What Does the Stock Market Tell Us About Real Estate Returns? (Revision of 18-91) (Reprint 030)," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 11-92, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research.
    25. David M. Harrison & Christine A. Panasian & Michael J. Seiler, 2011. "Further Evidence on the Capital Structure of REITs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 39(1), pages 133-166, March.
    26. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    27. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    28. Szu-Yin Hung & John Glascock, 2008. "Momentum Profitability and Market Trend: Evidence from REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(1), pages 51-69, July.
    29. Honghui Chen & David H. Downs & Gary A. Patterson, 2012. "The Information Content of REIT Short Interest: Investment Focus and Heterogeneous Beliefs," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 40(2), pages 249-283, June.
    30. James D. Peterson & Cheng‐Ho Hsieh, 1997. "Do Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds Explain Returns on REITs?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 321-345, June.
    31. Mike Aguilar & Walter I. Boudry & Robert A. Connolly, 2018. "The Dynamics of REIT Pricing Efficiency," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 46(1), pages 251-283, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wikrom Prombutr & Chanwit Phengpis & Ying Zhang, 2023. "Anomalies in U.S. REIT Returns: Evidence for and against the Q-theory," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 26(1), pages 43-71.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paul Gallimore & J. Andrew Hansz & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang, 2014. "Long-term Cointegrative and Short-term Causal Relations among U.S. Real Estate Sectors," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 17(3), pages 359-394.
    2. J. Andrew Hansz & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2017. "An Anatomy of the Interrelationship between Equity and Mortgage REITs," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(3), pages 287-324.
    3. Wikrom Prombutr & Chanwit Phengpis & Ying Zhang, 2023. "Anomalies in U.S. REIT Returns: Evidence for and against the Q-theory," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 26(1), pages 43-71.
    4. Paul Gallimore & J. Andrew Hansz & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang, 2014. "Long-term Cointegrative and Short-term Causal Relations among U.S. Real Estate Sectors," International Real Estate Review, Asian Real Estate Society, vol. 17(3), pages 359-394.
    5. Mohammad Sharik Essa & Evangelos Giouvris, 2023. "Fama–French–Carhart Factor-Based Premiums in the US REIT Market: A Risk Based Explanation, and the Impact of Financial Distress and Liquidity Crisis from 2001 to 2020," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-39, January.
    6. J. Andrew Hansz & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2017. "An Investigation into the Substitutability of Equity and Mortgage REITs in Real Estate Portfolios," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 54(3), pages 338-364, April.
    7. John L. Glascock & Wikrom Prombutr & Ying Zhang & Tingyu Zhou, 2018. "Can Investors Hold More Real Estate? Evidence from Statistical Properties of Listed REIT versus Non-REIT Property Companies in the U.S," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(2), pages 274-302, February.
    8. Camilo Serrano & Martin Hoesli, 2012. "Fractional Cointegration Analysis of Securitized Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 319-338, April.
    9. Minye Zhang & Yongheng Deng, 2008. "REITs Return Behavior and Legal Infrastructure: The 1993 Revenue Reconciliation Act & Inspirations for China's Emerging REITS Market," Working Paper 8532, USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.
    10. Ata Assaf, 2006. "Canadian REITs and Stock Prices: Fractional Cointegration and Long Memory," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 9(03), pages 441-462.
    11. Viktoriya Lantushenko & Edward Nelling, 2020. "Active Management in Real Estate Mutual Funds," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 247-274, August.
    12. Nikiforos Laopodis, 2009. "REITs, the stock market and economic activity," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 27(6), pages 563-578, September.
    13. James Chong & Alexandra Krystalogianni & Simon Stevenson, 2012. "Dynamic correlations between REIT sub-sectors and the implications for diversification," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(13), pages 1089-1109, July.
    14. Honghui Chen & David M. Harrison & Mahsa Khoshnoud, 2020. "Investors’ Limited Attention: Evidence from REITs," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(3), pages 408-442, October.
    15. Randy Anderson & Jim Clayton & Greg Mackinnon & Rajneesh Sharma, 2006. "REIT Returns and Pricing: The Small Cap Value Stock Factor," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(4), pages 267-286, January.
    16. George D. Cashman & David M. Harrison & Hainan Sheng, 2021. "Option Trading and REIT Returns," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 49(1), pages 332-389, March.
    17. Séverine CAUCHIE & Martin HOESLI, 2004. "The Integration of Securitized Real Estate and Financial Assets," FAME Research Paper Series rp111, International Center for Financial Asset Management and Engineering.
    18. Ogonna Nneji & Chris Brooks & Charles Ward, 2013. "Commercial Real Estate and Equity Market Bubbles: Are They Contagious to REITs?," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 50(12), pages 2496-2516, September.
    19. Ogonna Nneji & Chris Brooks & Charles Ward, 2011. "Housing and equity bubbles: Are they contagious to REITs?," ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance icma-dp2011-11, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
    20. Devaney, Steven & Xiao, Qin, 2017. "Cyclical co-movements of private real estate, public real estate and equity markets: A cross-continental spectrum," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 42, pages 132-151.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:50:y:2022:i:1:p:247-267. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/areueea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.