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Turkish Delight: Does Turkey's Accession to the EU Bring Economic Benefits?


  • Arjan M. Lejour
  • Ruud A. Mooij


Der Aufsatz untersucht die wirtschaftlichen Folgen eines möglichen Beitritts der Türkei zur Euro-päischen Union. Das Schwergewicht liegt auf den drei wichtigsten Veränderungen, die mit einer Mit-gliedschaft der Türkei einhergehen würden: (i) Zugang zum europäischen Binnenmarkt; (ii) Refor-men der türkischen Institutionen als Folge der EU-Mitgliedschaft; und (iii) Migration infolge der Freizügigkeit der Arbeitnehmer. Die makroökonomischen Folgen für die EU-Länder sind gering, aber positiv. Europäische Exporte werden um ca. 20% steigen. Für die Türkei werden die wirtschaft-lichen Gewinne höher sein als für die EU. Es wird geschätzt, dass die Konsumausgaben pro Kopf als Folge des Zugangs zum europäischen Binnenmarkt und der Freizügigkeit der Arbeitnehmer um etwa 4% steigen werden. Wenn es der Türkei gelingt, die internen Institutionen zu ändern, könnte der Konsum um weitere 9% steigen. Diese Gewinne würden sich auch auf die EU auswirken. Copyright 2005 Blackwell Publishing Ltd..

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  • Arjan M. Lejour & Ruud A. Mooij, 2005. "Turkish Delight: Does Turkey's Accession to the EU Bring Economic Benefits?," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(1), pages 87-120, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:kyklos:v:58:y:2005:i:1:p:87-120

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Flam, Harry, 2003. "Turkey and the EU: Politics and Economics of Accession," Seminar Papers 718, Stockholm University, Institute for International Economic Studies.
    2. World Bank, 2003. "World Development Indicators 2003," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 13920.
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    Cited by:

    1. Natalya Ketenci, 2017. "The Effect of the European Union Customs Union on the Balance of Trade in Turkey," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 52(4), pages 219-232, November.
    2. Antonis Adam & Thomas Moutos, 2005. "Turkish Delight for Some, Cold Turkey for Others?: The Effects of the EU-Turkey Customs Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 1550, CESifo Group Munich.
    3. Christopher S. P. Magee, 2016. "Trade creation, trade diversion, and the general equilibrium effects of regional trade agreements: a study of the European Community–Turkey customs union," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 152(2), pages 383-399, May.
    4. Harald Badinger & Fritz Breuss, 2011. "The Quantitative Effects of European Post-war Economic Integration," Chapters,in: International Handbook on the Economics of Integration, Volume III, chapter 14 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    5. Arjan Lejour & Gerard Verweij & A. Mervar, 2007. "The economic effects Croatia's accession to the EU," CPB Document 154, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    6. Christian Dreger & Manuel Artís & Rosina Moreno & Raúl Ramos & Jordi Suriñach, 2007. "Study on the feasibility of a tool to measure the macroeconomic impact of structural reforms," European Economy - Economic Papers 2008 - 2015 272, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    7. Arjan Lejour & Andrea Mervar & Gerard Verweij, 2007. "The Economic Effects of Croatia's Accession to the EU," Working Papers 0705, The Institute of Economics, Zagreb.
    8. repec:bla:jcmkts:v:55:y:2017:i:3:p:419-431 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Bekaert, Geert & Harvey, Campbell R. & Lundblad, Christian T. & Siegel, Stephan, 2013. "The European Union, the Euro, and equity market integration," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(3), pages 583-603.
    10. Fritz Breuss, 2007. "EU Enlargement and European Neighbourhood Policy," WIFO Monatsberichte (monthly reports), WIFO, vol. 80(8), pages 641-660, August.
    11. Pelkmans, Jacques & Lejour, Arjan & Schrefler, Lorna & Mustilli, Federica & Timini, Jacopo, 2014. "The Impact of TTIP: The underlying economic model and comparisons," CEPS Papers 9710, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    12. Ryan H. Murphy, 2016. "Intergovernmental Organisations and Economic Freedom: Wise Technocrats or Black Helicopters?," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 145-154, June.
    13. Arjan Lejour & Paul Veenendaal & Gerard Verweij & Nico van Leeuwen, 2006. "Worldscan; a model for international economic policy analysis," CPB Document 111, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    14. Nurhan Davutyan & Mert C. Demir, 2004. "Transporting Turkish Exam Takers: A New Use for an Old Model," Working Papers 0401, Economic Research Forum, revised 01 Jan 2004.
    15. Guisan, M. Carmen, 2005. "Human Capital, Population Growth and Industrial Development in Mexico and Turkey: A Comparative Analysis with Other OECD Countries, 1964-2004," Economic Development 85, University of Santiago de Compostela. Faculty of Economics and Business. Econometrics..

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