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Testing Serial Independence Using The Sample Distribution Function

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  • Miguel A. Delgado

Abstract

. This paper presents and discusses a nonparametric test for detecting serial dependence. We consider a Cramèer‐von Mises statistic based on the difference between the joint sample distribution and the product of the marginals. Exact critical values can be approximated from the asymptotic null distribution, or by resampling, randomly permuting the original series. A Monte Carlo experiment illustrates the test performance with small sample sizes. The paper also includes an application, testing the random walk hypothesis of exchange rate returns for several currencies.

Suggested Citation

  • Miguel A. Delgado, 1996. "Testing Serial Independence Using The Sample Distribution Function," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 17(3), pages 271-285, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jtsera:v:17:y:1996:i:3:p:271-285
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1467-9892.1996.tb00276.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Yongmiao Hong, 2013. "Serial Correlation and Serial Dependence," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    2. repec:wyi:journl:002087 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Lobato, Ignacio N & Savin, N E, 1998. "Real and Spurious Long-Memory Properties of Stock-Market Data," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(3), pages 261-268, July.
    4. Igor L. Kheifets, 2015. "Specification tests for nonlinear dynamic models," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 18(1), pages 67-94, February.
    5. Diks Cees & Manzan Sebastiano, 2002. "Tests for Serial Independence and Linearity Based on Correlation Integrals," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 6(2), pages 1-22, July.
    6. Mora, Juan, 1998. "A nonparametric test for serial independence of errors in linear regression," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 4675, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    7. Yi-Ting Chen, 2008. "A unified approach to standardized-residuals-based correlation tests for GARCH-type models," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 111-133.
    8. Eunhee Kim & Sangyeol Lee, 2005. "A test for independence of two stationary infinite order autoregressive processes," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 57(1), pages 105-127, March.
    9. Igor Kheifets & Carlos Velasco, 2012. "Model Adequacy Checks for Discrete Choice Dynamic Models," Working Papers w0170, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
    10. Bouhaddioui, Chafik & Ghoudi, Kilani, 2012. "Empirical processes for infinite variance autoregressive models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 319-335.
    11. Kheifets, Igor L., 2018. "Multivariate specification tests based on a dynamic Rosenblatt transform," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 1-14.
    12. Luca Bagnato & Lucio De Capitani & Antonio Punzo, 2014. "Testing Serial Independence via Density-Based Measures of Divergence," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 627-641, September.
    13. Lanh Tran & Ba Chu & Chunfeng Huang & Kim P. Huynh, 2014. "Adaptive permutation tests for serial independence," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 68(3), pages 183-208, August.
    14. Ghoudi, Kilani & Kulperger, Reg J. & Rémillard, Bruno, 2001. "A Nonparametric Test of Serial Independence for Time Series and Residuals," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(2), pages 191-218, November.
    15. Cees Diks & Sebastiano Manzan, 2001. "Tests for Serial Independence and Linearity based on Correlation Integrals," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 01-085/1, Tinbergen Institute.
    16. Kilani Ghoudi & Bruno Rémillard, 2018. "Serial independence tests for innovations of conditional mean and variance models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 27(1), pages 3-26, March.
    17. Du, Zaichao, 2014. "Testing for serial independence of panel errors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 248-261.
    18. C. W. Granger & E. Maasoumi & J. Racine, 2004. "A Dependence Metric for Possibly Nonlinear Processes," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(5), pages 649-669, September.
    19. Matilla-Garci­a, Mariano & Ruiz Mari­n, Manuel, 2008. "A non-parametric independence test using permutation entropy," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 139-155, May.
    20. Ivan Kojadinovic & Jun Yan, 2011. "Tests of serial independence for continuous multivariate time series based on a Möbius decomposition of the independence empirical copula process," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 63(2), pages 347-373, April.

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