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On the Likelihood and Welfare Effects of “Stop–and–go” Policies

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  • Rui Nuno Baleiras
  • Vasco Santos

Abstract

Baleiras and Santos (2000) show that “stop–and–go” policies may be inherent in the institutional set–up rather than result from the wrong timing of expansionary vs. contractionary policies or any form of players’ irrationality. We use this set–up, involving ultrarational players and perfect foresight, to show that stop–and–go policies are more likely (in a statistical sense) than the opposite type of phenomenon. Moreover, it is shown that having the voters’ and the business community's preferences concerning the cycle converge to the socially optimal cycle pattern may entail a welfare loss.

Suggested Citation

  • Rui Nuno Baleiras & Vasco Santos, 2003. "On the Likelihood and Welfare Effects of “Stop–and–go” Policies," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 5(1), pages 121-133, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jpbect:v:5:y:2003:i:1:p:121-133
    DOI: 10.1111/1467-9779.00124
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Rui Baleiras & Vasco Santos, 2000. "Behavioral and Institutional Determinants of Political Business Cycles," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 104(1), pages 121-147, July.
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