IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jorssa/v182y2019i4p1503-1521.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Flexible (panel) regression models for bivariate count–continuous data with an insurance application

Author

Listed:
  • Yang Lu

Abstract

We propose a flexible regression model that is suitable for mixed count–continuous panel data. The model is based on a compound Poisson representation of the continuous variable, with bivariate random effect following a polynomial‐expansion‐based joint density. Besides the distributional flexibility that it offers, the model allows for closed form forecast updating formulae. This property is especially important for insurance applications, in which the future individual insurance premium should be regularly updated according to one's own past claim history. An application to vehicle insurance claims is provided.

Suggested Citation

  • Yang Lu, 2019. "Flexible (panel) regression models for bivariate count–continuous data with an insurance application," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 182(4), pages 1503-1521, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:182:y:2019:i:4:p:1503-1521
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12470
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12470
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/rssa.12470?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Cummins, J. David & Dionne, Georges & McDonald, James B. & Pritchett, B. Michael, 1990. "Applications of the GB2 family of distributions in modeling insurance loss processes," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 257-272, December.
    2. Dionne, Georges & Vanasse, Charles, 1989. "A Generalization of Automobile Insurance Rating Models: The Negative Binomial Distribution with a Regression Component," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(2), pages 199-212, November.
    3. Tzougas, George & Vrontos, Spyridon & Frangos, Nicholas, 2014. "Optimal Bonus-Malus Systems Using Finite Mixture Models," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 44(2), pages 417-444, May.
    4. James B. McDonald, 2008. "Some Generalized Functions for the Size Distribution of Income," Economic Studies in Inequality, Social Exclusion, and Well-Being, in: Duangkamon Chotikapanich (ed.), Modeling Income Distributions and Lorenz Curves, chapter 3, pages 37-55, Springer.
    5. Liran Einav & Amy Finkelstein & Paul Schrimpf, 2010. "Optimal Mandates and the Welfare Cost of Asymmetric Information: Evidence From the U.K. Annuity Market," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 78(3), pages 1031-1092, May.
    6. Englin, Jeffrey & Shonkwiler, J S, 1995. "Estimating Social Welfare Using Count Data Models: An Application to Long-Run Recreation Demand under Conditions of Endogenous Stratification and Truncation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(1), pages 104-112, February.
    7. Pinquet, Jean & Guillén, Montserrat & Bolancé, Catalina, 2001. "Allowance for the Age of Claims in Bonus-Malus Systems," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(2), pages 337-348, November.
    8. Gallant, A Ronald & Nychka, Douglas W, 1987. "Semi-nonparametric Maximum Likelihood Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 363-390, March.
    9. de Jong,Piet & Heller,Gillian Z., 2008. "Generalized Linear Models for Insurance Data," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521879149, September.
    10. Gueorguieva R. V. & Agresti A., 2001. "A Correlated Probit Model for Joint Modeling of Clustered Binary and Continuous Responses," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 96, pages 1102-1112, September.
    11. D. B. Dunson, 2000. "Bayesian latent variable models for clustered mixed outcomes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 62(2), pages 355-366.
    12. repec:taf:jnlbes:v:30:y:2012:i:2:p:265-274 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 701-720, May.
    14. Garrido, J. & Genest, C. & Schulz, J., 2016. "Generalized linear models for dependent frequency and severity of insurance claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 205-215.
    15. Frangos, Nicholas E. & Vrontos, Spyridon D., 2001. "Design of Optimal Bonus-Malus Systems With a Frequency and a Severity Component On an Individual Basis in Automobile Insurance," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 31(1), pages 1-22, May.
    16. Bierens, Herman J., 2008. "Semi-Nonparametric Interval-Censored Mixed Proportional Hazard Models: Identification And Consistency Results," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(3), pages 749-794, June.
    17. Duan, Naihua, et al, 1983. "A Comparison of Alternative Models for the Demand for Medical Care," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 1(2), pages 115-126, April.
    18. Mary Dupuis Sammel & Louise M. Ryan & Julie M. Legler, 1997. "Latent Variable Models for Mixed Discrete and Continuous Outcomes," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 59(3), pages 667-678.
    19. Tzougas, George & Vrontos, Spyridon & Frangos, Nicholas, 2014. "Optimal Bonus-Malus Systems using finite mixture models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 70919, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Verschuren, Robert Matthijs, 2022. "Frequency-severity experience rating based on latent Markovian risk profiles," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 379-392.
    2. Cheung, Eric C.K. & Ni, Weihong & Oh, Rosy & Woo, Jae-Kyung, 2021. "Bayesian credibility under a bivariate prior on the frequency and the severity of claims," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 274-295.
    3. Denuit, Michel & Lu, Yang, 2020. "Wishart-Gamma mixtures for multiperil experience ratemaking, frequency-severity experience rating and micro-loss reserving," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2020016, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    4. Michel Denuit & Yang Lu, 2021. "Wishart‐gamma random effects models with applications to nonlife insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(2), pages 443-481, June.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tan, Chong It, 2016. "Varying transition rules in bonus–malus systems: From rules specification to determination of optimal relativities," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 134-140.
    2. Tzougas, George & Hoon, W. L. & Lim, J. M., 2019. "The negative binomial-inverse Gaussian regression model with an application to insurance ratemaking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101728, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. George Tzougas, 2020. "EM Estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma Regression Model with Varying Dispersion: An Application to Insurance Ratemaking," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-23, September.
    4. Tzougas, George, 2020. "EM estimation for the Poisson-Inverse Gamma regression model with varying dispersion: an application to insurance ratemaking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 106539, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Tzougas, George & Yik, Woo Hee & Mustaqeem, Muhammad Waqar, 2019. "Insurance ratemaking using the Exponential-Lognormal regression model," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 101729, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    6. Shi, Peng & Valdez, Emiliano A., 2011. "A copula approach to test asymmetric information with applications to predictive modeling," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 226-239, September.
    7. Olena Ragulina, 2017. "Bonus--malus systems with different claim types and varying deductibles," Papers 1707.00917, arXiv.org.
    8. Tzougas, George & Vrontos, Spyridon & Frangos, Nicholas, 2018. "Bonus-Malus systems with two component mixture models arising from different parametric families," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 84301, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Denise Desjardins & Georges Dionne & Yang Lu, 2023. "Hierarchical random‐effects model for the insurance pricing of vehicles belonging to a fleet," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 38(2), pages 242-259, March.
    10. Tzougas, George & Karlis, Dimitris, 2020. "An EM algorithm for fitting a new class of mixed exponential regression models with varying dispersion," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 104027, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    11. Tan, Chong It & Li, Jackie & Li, Johnny Siu-Hang & Balasooriya, Uditha, 2015. "Optimal relativities and transition rules of a bonus–malus system," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 255-263.
    12. Angers, Jean-François & Desjardins, Denise & Dionne, Georges & Guertin, François, 2006. "Vehicle and Fleet Random Effects in a Model of Insurance Rating for Fleets of Vehicles," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(1), pages 25-77, May.
    13. Gourieroux, C. & Jasiak, J., 2004. "Heterogeneous INAR(1) model with application to car insurance," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 177-192, April.
    14. Yang Lu, 2018. "Dynamic Frailty Count Process in Insurance: A Unified Framework for Estimation, Pricing, and Forecasting," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 85(4), pages 1083-1102, December.
    15. Jeong, Himchan & Valdez, Emiliano A., 2020. "Predictive compound risk models with dependence," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 182-195.
    16. Michel Denuit & Yang Lu, 2021. "Wishart‐gamma random effects models with applications to nonlife insurance," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 88(2), pages 443-481, June.
    17. Angers, Jean-François & Desjardins, Denise & Dionne, Georges & Guertin, François, 2018. "Modelling And Estimating Individual And Firm Effects With Count Panel Data," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 48(3), pages 1049-1078, September.
    18. Tzougas, George & Vrontos, Spyridon & Frangos, Nicholas, 2014. "Optimal Bonus-Malus Systems using finite mixture models," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 70919, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    19. Dahen, Hela & Dionne, Georges, 2010. "Scaling models for the severity and frequency of external operational loss data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(7), pages 1484-1496, July.
    20. Peng Shi & Glenn M. Fung & Daniel Dickinson, 2022. "Assessing hail risk for property insurers with a dependent marked point process," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(1), pages 302-328, January.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:182:y:2019:i:4:p:1503-1521. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/rssssea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.