IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/jageco/v43y1992i3p412-423.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Portfolio Model For Evaluating Risk In Economic Development Projects, With An Application To Agriculture In Niger

Author

Listed:
  • K. C. Schaefer

Abstract

After a literature review, a planning and project evaluation model is developed that includes both risk and profit considerations but avoids some weaknesses of other mean‐variance models. Agricultural extension and project evaluation results of an application of this model are compared to those of the common profit‐maximisation model. The two sets of results differ on the worth of intercropping, the relative merits of raising small ruminants and cattle, the likelihood of success of a major livestock development programme (which would benefit only wealthier farmers), the benefits of introducing labour‐saving technologies, and the value of teaching/demonstration components in the projects being evaluated.

Suggested Citation

  • K. C. Schaefer, 1992. "A Portfolio Model For Evaluating Risk In Economic Development Projects, With An Application To Agriculture In Niger," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(3), pages 412-423, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:43:y:1992:i:3:p:412-423
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1477-9552.1992.tb00235.x
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1992.tb00235.x
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/j.1477-9552.1992.tb00235.x?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. S. R. Johnson, 1967. "A Re-examination of the Farm Diversification Problem," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 49(3), pages 610-621.
    2. Breeden, Douglas T., 1979. "An intertemporal asset pricing model with stochastic consumption and investment opportunities," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(3), pages 265-296, September.
    3. Walker, Thomas Steven, 1981. "Risk and Adoption of Hybrid Maize in El Salvador," Food Research Institute Studies, Stanford University, Food Research Institute, vol. 18(1), pages 1-30.
    4. Terry Roe, 1982. "Empirical Estimation and Use of Risk Preference: Discussion," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(2), pages 394-396.
    5. Hans P. Binswanger, 1980. "Attitudes Toward Risk: Experimental Measurement in Rural India," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(3), pages 395-407.
    6. Rulon D. Pope, 1982. "Empirical Estimation and Use of Risk Preferences: An Appraisal of Estimation Methods That Use Actual Economic Decisions," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(2), pages 376-383.
    7. John T. Scott & Chester B. Baker, 1972. "A Practical Way to Select an Optimum Farm Plan Under Risk," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 54(4_Part_1), pages 657-660.
    8. Thomas B. Wiens, 1976. "Peasant Risk Aversion and Allocative Behavior: A Quadratic Programming Experiment," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 58(4_Part_1), pages 629-635.
    9. Edgardo Moscardi & Alain de Janvry, 1977. "Attitudes Toward Risk Among Peasants: An Econometric Approach," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 59(4), pages 710-716.
    10. Peter B. R. Hazell, 1982. "Application of Risk Preference Estimates in Firm-Household and Agricultural Sector Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 64(2), pages 384-390.
    11. Wayne Thomas & Leroy Blakeslee & LeRoy Rogers & Norman Whittlesey, 1972. "Separable Programming for Considering Risk in Farm Planning," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 54(2), pages 260-266.
    12. Black, Fischer, 1972. "Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 45(3), pages 444-455, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Roche, M. & McQuinn, K., 2003. "Efficient allocation of land in a decoupled world," Economics Department Working Paper Series n1190103, Department of Economics, National University of Ireland - Maynooth.
    2. Marius Rădulescu & Constanta Rădulescu & Gheorghiţă Zbăganu, 2014. "A portfolio theory approach to crop planning under environmental constraints," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 219(1), pages 243-264, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Z. Bar‐Shira & R.E. Just & D. Zilberman, 1997. "Estimation of farmers' risk attitude: an econometric approach," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(2-3), pages 211-222, December.
    2. Boisvert, Richard N., 1985. "The Role Of Alternative Risk Programming Models In Empirical Research," Regional Research Projects > 1985: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 24-27, 1985, Charleston, South Carolina 271793, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
    3. Lien, Gudbrand, 2002. "Non-parametric estimation of decision makers' risk aversion," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 27(1), pages 75-83, May.
    4. Antle, John M. & Goodger, William A., 1983. "Measuring Stochastic Technology: The Case Of Tulare Milk Production," Working Papers 225708, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    5. Gomez-Limon, Jose A. & Arriaza, Manuel & Riesgo, Laura, 2003. "An MCDM analysis of agricultural risk aversion," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 151(3), pages 569-585, December.
    6. Gomez-Limon, Jose Antonio & Riesgo, Laura & Arriaza Balmón, Manuel, 2002. "Agricultural Risk Aversion Revisited: A Multicriteria Decision-Making Approach," 2002 International Congress, August 28-31, 2002, Zaragoza, Spain 24827, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
    7. Ben Groom & Phoebe Koundouri & Celine Nauges & Alban Thomas, 2003. "Irrigation water management under risk: An application to Cyprus," DEOS Working Papers 0306, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    8. Hamal, K.B. & Anderson, Jock R., 1982. "A Note On Decreasing Absolute Risk Aversion Among Farmers In Nepal," Australian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 26(3), pages 1-6, December.
    9. Sharpe, William F, 1991. "Capital Asset Prices with and without Negative Holdings," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 489-509, June.
    10. repec:dau:papers:123456789/2514 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Campbell, John Y. & Giglio, Stefano & Polk, Christopher & Turley, Robert, 2018. "An intertemporal CAPM with stochastic volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 128(2), pages 207-233.
    12. Gempesaw, Conrado M., II & Tambe, A.M. & Nayga, Rodolfo M., Jr. & Toensmeyer, Ulrich C., 1988. "The Single Index Market Model In Agriculture," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 1-9, October.
    13. Martin Lettau & Sydney Ludvigson, 2001. "Resurrecting the (C)CAPM: A Cross-Sectional Test When Risk Premia Are Time-Varying," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(6), pages 1238-1287, December.
    14. Raymond Kan & Guofu Zhou, 1999. "A Critique of the Stochastic Discount Factor Methodology," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1221-1248, August.
    15. Ortmann, G. F. & Patrick, G. F. & Musser, W. N. & Doster, D. H., 1992. "Sources And Management Of Risk: Evidence From Leading Cornbelt Farmers In The Usa," Agrekon, Agricultural Economics Association of South Africa (AEASA), vol. 31(4), December.
    16. Bin Li & Benjamin Liu & Eduardo Roca, 2010. "An Empirical Investigation of Consumption CAPMs in the Australian Market," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201011, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    17. Attiya Yasmeen Javid, 2000. "Alternative Capital Asset Pricing Models: A Review of Theory and Evidence," PIDE Research Report 2000:3, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    18. Zhou, Guofu, 1995. "Small sample rank tests with applications to asset pricing," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(1), pages 71-93, March.
    19. Bernoth, Kerstin & von Hagen, Jürgen & de Vries, Caspar, 2022. "The Term Structure of Currency Futures' Risk Premia," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 54(1), pages 5-38.
    20. Wayne E. Ferson & Campbell R. Harvey, 1999. "Conditioning Variables and the Cross Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 54(4), pages 1325-1360, August.
    21. Blancard, Stephane & Boussemart, Jean-Philippe & Crainich, D. & Leleu, Herve, 2008. "How can allocative inefficiency reveal risk preference? An empirical investigation on French wheat farms," 2008 International Congress, August 26-29, 2008, Ghent, Belgium 44208, European Association of Agricultural Economists.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:jageco:v:43:y:1992:i:3:p:412-423. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=0021-857X .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.