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Industry Structure and Ripple Effects of Bankruptcy Announcements

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  • Cheng, Louis T W
  • McDonald, James E

Abstract

The market structure of an industry plays an important role in determining the stock market performance of surviving firms during intra-industry bankruptcy announcements. On evaluating the announcement effects of a survivor sample from each of two industries with very different market structures, namely the airline industry and the railroad industry, we find that the airline sample received significant abnormal returns (positive ripple) while the railroad sample experiences significant abnormal losses (negative ripple). Furthermore, the differences of the abnormal returns from the two samples also are statistically significant. These findings demonstrate support for the market structure hypothesis (MSH), but cast doubt on the contagion effect hypothesis (CEH). Copyright 1996 by MIT Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, Louis T W & McDonald, James E, 1996. "Industry Structure and Ripple Effects of Bankruptcy Announcements," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 31(4), pages 783-807, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:finrev:v:31:y:1996:i:4:p:783-807
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Tseng-Chung Tang, 2010. "The information content of reorganization procedures: contagion or competitive effects?," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 9(2), pages 141-161, August.
    2. Spatareanu, Mariana & Manole, Vlad & Kabiri, Ali & Roland, Isabelle, 2023. "Bank default risk propagation along supply chains: evidence from the U.K," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 117351, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. Yaghoub Abdi & Xiaoni Li & Xavier Càmara-Turull, 2023. "Firm value in the airline industry: perspectives on the impact of sustainability and Covid-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Olga Krzeczewska & Radosław Pastusiak, 2022. "Does bankruptcy filing always mean contagion? Evidence from industry rivals," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1357-1366, January.
    5. Stephen X. H. Gong, 2008. "Event Study in Transport Research: Methodology and Applications," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(2), pages 207-222, May.
    6. Baranchuk, Nina & Rebello, Michael J., 2018. "Spillovers from good-news and other bankruptcies: Real effects and price responses," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(2), pages 228-249.
    7. Akhigbe, Aigbe & Johnston, Jarrod & Madura, Jeff, 2006. "Long-term industry performance following IPOs," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(4), pages 638-651, September.
    8. Chi, Li-Chiu, 2009. "Contagion and competitive effects of plan confirmation of reorganization filings: Evidence from the Taiwan Stock Market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(2), pages 364-369, March.
    9. Dennis Bams & Magdalena Pisa & Christian C. P. Wolff, 2021. "Spillovers to small business credit risk," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 57(1), pages 323-352, June.
    10. R. Elliott & Michael Highfield & Mark Schaub, 2006. "Contagion or Competition: Going Concern Audit Opinions for Real Estate Firms," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 32(4), pages 435-448, June.
    11. Aigbe Akhigbe & Stephen F. Borde & Ann Marie Whyte, 2003. "Does an Industry Effect Exist for Initial Public Offerings?," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 38(4), pages 531-551, November.
    12. O. Cem Ozturk & Pradeep K. Chintagunta & Sriram Venkataraman, 2019. "Consumer Response to Chapter 11 Bankruptcy: Negative Demand Spillover to Competitors," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 38(2), pages 296-316, March.
    13. Iqbal, Zahid, 2002. "The effects of bankruptcy filings on the competitors' earnings," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 85-99, April.
    14. N. Kohers & T. Kohers, 2004. "Information sensitivity of high tech industries: evidence from merger announcements," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(7), pages 525-536.
    15. Branch, Ben, 2002. "The costs of bankruptcy: A review," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 39-57.
    16. Chi, Li-Chiu & Tang, Tseng-Chung, 2008. "The response of industry rivals to announcements of reorganization filing," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 13-23, January.
    17. Spatareanu, Mariana & Manole, Vlad & Kabiri, Ali & Roland, Isabelle, 2023. "Bank default risk propagation along supply chains: Evidence from the U.K," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 813-831.
    18. Ji, Guseon & Dai, Bingcun & Park, Sung-Pil & Ahn, Kwangwon, 2020. "The origin of collective phenomena in firm sizes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).

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