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The Efficiency of the Market for Bank Accepted Bills

Author

Listed:
  • COLM KEARNEY
  • RONALD MACDONALD
  • JOHN HILLIER

Abstract

The speculative efficiency of the Sydney Futures Exchange's market in bank accepted bills is examined by considering if the futures price is an unbiased predictor of the subsequent spot price and if other publicly available information can improve on this predictor. Data spanning the period 1980(1) to 1986(5) are employed The results are adverse to the efficiency hypothesis in that the futures price in some cases is not an unbiased predictor and neither is it an optimal predictor.

Suggested Citation

  • Colm Kearney & Ronald Macdonald & John Hillier, 1989. "The Efficiency of the Market for Bank Accepted Bills," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 65(3), pages 225-233, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:ecorec:v:65:y:1989:i:3:p:225-233
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1475-4932.1989.tb00931.x
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Warren J. Tease, 1988. "The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 64(2), pages 120-127, June.
    2. Tease, Warren J, 1988. "The Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 64(185), pages 120-127, June.
    3. Friedman, Daniel & Vandersteel, Stoddard, 1982. "Short-run fluctuations in foreign exchange rates : Evidence from the data 1973-1979," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(1-2), pages 171-186, August.
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