A Strategic Analysis of Frontier Alternatives in Nigerian Oil and Gas Production: The Case of the Kolmani Discovery

Nigeria’s oil and gas sector, historically concentrated in the Niger Delta, faces increasing challenges, including reserve depletion, infrastructural decay, and security concerns. In response, exploration efforts have expanded to frontier basins such as the Gongola Basin, leading to the discovery of the Kolmani field in 2019. This study presents a strategic evaluation of the Kolmani field using SWOT and PESTLE frameworks to analyze internal strengths and weaknesses, as well as external opportunities and threats. Key challenges include infrastructure deficits, regional security concerns, and heavy tax burdens under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021. However, the project presents opportunities for government incentives, industrialization, and socio-economic development and stimulation. The analysis is based on data from NNPC’s Frontier Exploration Services, industry reports, and expert consultations. Key recommendations include engaging with government agencies to optimize fiscal incentives, leveraging advanced technologies to enhance production efficiency, and implementing robust security and risk management strategies. The study provides actionable insights for policymakers, investors, and industry stakeholders seeking to optimize Nigeria’s frontier oil and gas development.