IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bba/j00007/v3y2024i3p52-61d367.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigating the Role of Policy Rate and Money Supply in Nigeria's Inflation Stability

Author

Listed:
  • Bello Dalhatu

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria)

  • Ebuh Godday Uwawunkonye

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria)

  • Umemezia Bernice Adaeze

    (Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria)

Abstract

This study examines the factors influencing inflation stability in Nigeria from 2011Q1 to 2023Q1. We employ an ARDL model to assess the impact of monetary policy rate, money supply, crude oil price, GDP growth, and government budget deficit on inflation. Our findings reveal that broad money and fiscal deficit exert a positive and statistically significant influence on inflation in both the short and long run. Interestingly, monetary policy rate only affects inflation in the short term. These results suggest that Nigerian policymakers should prioritize managing broad money and fiscal deficits to achieve long-term inflation stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Bello Dalhatu & Ebuh Godday Uwawunkonye & Umemezia Bernice Adaeze, 2024. "Investigating the Role of Policy Rate and Money Supply in Nigeria's Inflation Stability," Financial Economics Letters, Anser Press, vol. 3(3), pages 52-61, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:bba:j00007:v:3:y:2024:i:3:p:52-61:d:367
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.anserpress.org/journal/fel/3/3/35/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.anserpress.org/journal/fel/3/3/35
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammed A. Abango & Hadrat Yusif & Adam Issifu, 2019. "Monetary Aggregates Targeting, Inflation Targeting and Inflation Stabilization in Ghana," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 31(4), pages 448-461, December.
    2. Bahmani-Oskooee, Mohsen & Bohl, Martin T., 2000. "German monetary unification and the stability of the German M3 money demand function," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 203-208, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Shi-jie Jiang & Matthew Chang & I-chan Chiang, 2012. "Price discovery in stock index: an ARDL-ECM approach in Taiwan case," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 46(4), pages 1227-1238, June.
    2. Ketenci, Natalya, 2009. "The ARDL Approach to Cointegration Analysis of Tourism Demand in Turkey: with Greece as the substitution destination," MPRA Paper 86602, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Muge Karacal, 2006. "The demand for money in Turkey and currency substitution," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(10), pages 635-642.
    4. Kia, Amir & Darrat, Ali F., 2007. "Modeling money demand under the profit-sharing banking scheme: Some evidence on policy invariance and long-run stability," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 104-123.
    5. Shaista Alam & Qazi Masood Ahmed & Muhammad Shahbaz, 2018. "The Effect of Exchange Rate Volatility on Pakistan’s Bilateral Exports to Major Recipients," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(2), pages 328-341, April.
    6. Lei Wang & Sana Ullah & Muhammad Tayyab Sohail, 2024. "Exchange rate volatility and green growth in China: does nonlinearity matter?," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(6), pages 1-26, December.
    7. Uche, Emmanuel & Ihezukwu, Veronica Adaku & Osunkwo, Folusho Olufunke Chinyere & Okoronkwo, Chijioke, 2021. "Does Oil Consumption Respond Asymmetrically to Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Income Differentials?," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 55(2), pages 51-63.
    8. Kumar, Saten, 2011. "Financial reforms and money demand: Evidence from 20 developing countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 323-334, September.
    9. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Muhammad Abdul Qayyum, 2007. "Trade, Financial and Growth Nexus in Pakistan," Economic Analysis Working Papers (2002-2010). Atlantic Review of Economics (2011-2016), Colexio de Economistas de A Coruña, Spain and Fundación Una Galicia Moderna, vol. 6, pages 1-24, December.
    10. Muhammad Mohsin & Mad Nasir Shamsudin & Khalid Mahsan Alshammary & Muddassar Sarfraz, 2024. "Exploring the Nexus between CO2 Emissions, Trade, and Sustainable Economic Growth: A Novel NARDL Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(2), pages 357-366, March.
    11. Padha, Vimarsh & Chaubal, Aditi, 2024. "Impact of global liquidity on Indian financial markets and monetary policy outcomes: An ARDL approach," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    12. Tang, Chor Foon, 2007. "The stability of money demand function in Japan: Evidence from rolling cointegration approach," MPRA Paper 19807, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Amir Kia, 2002. "Interest Free and Interest-Bearing Money Demand: Policy Invariance and Stability," Working Papers 0214, Economic Research Forum, revised 09 May 2002.
    14. Muhammad Arshad Khan & Abdul Qayyum & Saeed Ahmed Sheikh, 2005. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Case of Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 44(4), pages 819-837.
    15. M. Bahmani-Oskooee & Gour Goswami, 2003. "A disaggregated approach to test the J-Curve phenomenon: Japan versus her major trading partners," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 27(1), pages 102-113, March.
    16. Ivo Arnold, 2003. "A Regional Analysis of German Money Demand Around Reunification with Implications for EMU," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 63-80, March.
    17. Assad Ullah & Xinshun Zhao & Chenghui Ye & Muhammad Abdul Kamal, 2024. "Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty Shocks on China’s Stock Market Development: Evidence from Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag and Spectral Causality Approaches," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(3), pages 21582440241, September.
    18. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Mohd, Siti Hamizah & Mansur M. Masih, A., 2009. "The stability of money demand in China: Evidence from the ARDL model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 231-244, September.
    19. Ferda Halicioglu, 2005. "An Ardl Model Of Aggregate Tourism Demand For Turkey," International Trade 0503005, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Payam MOHAMMAD ALIHA & Tamat SARMIDI & Abu Hassan SHAAR & Fathin FAIZAH SAID, 2017. "Using Ardl Approach To Cointehration For Investigating The Relationship Between Payment Technologies And Money Demand On A World Scale," Regional Science Inquiry, Hellenic Association of Regional Scientists, vol. 0(2), pages 29-37, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bba:j00007:v:3:y:2024:i:3:p:52-61:d:367. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ramona Wang (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.anserpress.org .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.