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Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility and Commodity Trade between U.S. and Singapore

Author

Listed:
  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

    (The Center for Research on International Economics, and Department of Economics, The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI 53201, U.S.A.)

  • Hanafiah Harvey

    (Department of Economics, Pennsylvania State University, Mont Alto Mont Alto, PA 17237, U.S.A.)

Abstract

The impact of exchange rate volatility on trade flows still continues to be of great interest. More recent studies have looked that the issue at commodity level. In this paper, we consider the trade between Singapore and her major trading partner, the U.S. and investigate the effects of exchange rate volatility on 141 U.S. exporting industries and 60 U.S. importing industries. We find that exchange rate uncertainty has short-run effects on the trade flows of most industries. However, the short-run effects last into the long run only in 59 exporting industries and in 27 importing industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey, 2015. "Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility and Commodity Trade between U.S. and Singapore," Review of Economics & Finance, Better Advances Press, Canada, vol. 5, pages 22-40, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bap:journl:150102
    Note: Valuable comments from two anonymous referees are greatly appreciated. Remaining errors are the authors'.
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Yongqing Wang, 2008. "Impact Of Exchange Rate Uncertainty On Commodity Trade Between The Us And Australia," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(3), pages 235-258, September.
    2. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty, 2009. "The Effects of Exchange-Rate Volatility on Commodity Trade between the United States and Mexico," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 75(4), pages 1019-1044, April.
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    5. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Marina Kovyryalova, 2008. "Impact of Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Trade Flows: Evidence from Commodity Trade between the United States and the United Kingdom," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(8), pages 1097-1128, August.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Claire Economidou & Gour Gobinda Goswami, 2005. "How sensitive are Britain's inpayments and outpayments to the value of the British pound," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 32(5), pages 455-467, October.
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    10. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty & Jia Xu, 2012. "Exchange-Rate Volatility and Industry Trade Between Japan and China," Global Economy Journal (GEJ), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 12(3), pages 1-21, August.
    11. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Marzieh Bolhassani & Scott Hegerty, 2012. "Exchange-rate volatility and industry trade between Canada and Mexico," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(3), pages 389-408, May.
    12. Hassan Mohammadi & Murat Cak & Demet Cak, 2008. "Wagner's hypothesis," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 35(1), pages 94-106, January.
    13. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Abera Gelan, 2009. "How stable is the demand for money in African countries?," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 36(3), pages 216-235, July.
    14. Frank W. Agbola & Maylene Y. Damoense, 2005. "Time-series estimation of import demand functions for pulses in India," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 32(2), pages 146-157, May.
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    16. Ferda Halicioglu, 2007. "The J‐curve dynamics of Turkish bilateral trade: a cointegration approach," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(2), pages 103-119, May.
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    18. Mohsen Bahmani‐Oskooee & Scott W. Hegerty, 2007. "Exchange rate volatility and trade flows: a review article," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(3), pages 211-255, August.
    19. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Rajarshi Mitra, 2008. "Exchange Rate Risk and Commodity Trade Between the U.S. and India," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 19(1), pages 71-80, February.
    20. Lila J. Truett & Dale B. Truett, 2000. "The demand for imports and economic reform in Spain," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 27(3), pages 182-199, September.
    21. Seema Narayan & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2005. "An empirical analysis of Fiji's import demand function," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 32(2), pages 158-168, May.
    22. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Hanafiah Harvey & Scott W. Hegerty, 2012. "Exchange-Rate Volatility And Industry Trade Between The U.S. And Korea," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 37(1), pages 1-27, March.
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    25. Tuck Cheong Tang, 2007. "Money demand function for Southeast Asian countries," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 34(6), pages 476-496, November.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Shinta Fitriani, 2017. "The Exchange Rate Volatility And Export Performance: The Case Of Indonesia’S Exports To Japan And Us," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 20(1), pages 1-22, July.
    2. Unggul Heriqbaldi & Miguel Angel Esquivias & Rossanto Dwi Handoyo & Alfira Cahyaning Rifami & Hilda Rohmawati, 2022. "Exchange rate volatility and trade flows in Indonesia and ten main trade partners: asymmetric effects," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 40(4), pages 708-739, October.
    3. Nasir, Muhammad Ali & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "A quarter century of inflation targeting & structural change in exchange rate pass-through: Evidence from the first three movers," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 42-61.
    4. KANSEL,Zubeyir Can & BARI,Bilgin, 2020. "Testing J-Curve Effect On Trade Balance In Turkish Economy," Studii Financiare (Financial Studies), Centre of Financial and Monetary Research "Victor Slavescu", vol. 24(1), pages 53-69, March.
    5. Abdul Rashid & Shahid Mahmood Waqar, 2017. "Exchange rate fluctuations, firm size, and export behavior: an empirical investigation," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 49(3), pages 609-625, October.
    6. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Javed Iqbal & Saqib Ullah Khan, 2017. "Impact of exchange rate volatility on the commodity trade between Pakistan and the US," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 50(2), pages 161-187, May.
    7. Pabai Fofanah, 2020. "Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Trade: Evidence from West Africa," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 12(3), pages 32-52.
    8. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ferda Halicioglu & Amirhossein Mohammadian, 2018. "On the asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on domestic production in Turkey," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 51(2), pages 97-112, May.
    9. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    10. Thorsten Janus, 2020. "Terms of trade volatility, exports, and GDP," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 25-38, February.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    The U.S.; Singapore; Industry Trade; Exchange Rate Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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