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Potenciais Consequências Económicas das Migrações Decorrentes dos Diferentes Padrões de Consumo de Nacionais e Imigrantes: Uma Abordagem Input-Output

Author

Listed:
  • José Carlos Coelho

    (ISEG, Lisbon School of Economics & Management – Universidade de Lisboa; UECE – Research Unit on Complexity and Economics)

  • João Carlos Lopes

    (ISEG, Lisbon School of Economics & Management – Universidade de Lisboa; REM – Research in Economics and Mathematics; UECE – Research Unit on Complexity and Economics)

  • Vítor Escária

    (ISEG, Lisbon School of Economics & Management – Universidade de Lisboa; UECE – Research Unit on Complexity and Economics; CIRIUS – Research Centre on Regional and Urban Economics)

  • João Ferreira do Amaral

    (ISEG, Lisbon School of Economics & Management – Universidade de Lisboa; UECE – Research Unit on Complexity and Economics)

Abstract

O principal objetivo deste artigo é contribuir para uma melhor compreensão das potenciais consequências económicas das migrações associadas às diferentes estruturas de consumo. Para avaliar esta questão, em primeiro lugar, são obtidas as estruturas de consumo de nacionais e estrangeiros, usando os dados do Inquérito às Despesas das Famílias (IDEF) 2010/2011. As famílias são classificadas de acordo com a proporção de estrangeiros e as estruturas de consumo de cada tipo de família são determinadas e comparadas. Esta informação é relevante na averiguação da existência de diferentes condições de vida entre famílias de nacionais e famílias de imigrantes. Em segundo lugar, num enquadramento Input-Output, são simulados os impactos macroeconómicos e sectoriais (produção, valor acrescentado, PIB, importações e emprego) das diferentes estruturas de consumo, sendo posteriormente regionalizados. Estes resultados permitem projetar com maior precisão os efeitos potenciais do lado da procura resultantes do aumento do fluxo de imigração (trabalhadores e reformados) esperados para os próximos anos usando estruturas de consumo específicas das famílias estrangeiras.

Suggested Citation

  • José Carlos Coelho & João Carlos Lopes & Vítor Escária & João Ferreira do Amaral, 2020. "Potenciais Consequências Económicas das Migrações Decorrentes dos Diferentes Padrões de Consumo de Nacionais e Imigrantes: Uma Abordagem Input-Output," RPER, Associação Portuguesa para o Desenvolvimento Regional, issue 56, pages 151-160, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:apd:rper00:y:2020:i:56:id:166
    DOI: 10.59072/rper.vi56.166
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    References listed on IDEAS

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