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Live Hog And Pork Imports: Past And Projected Consequences For The U.S. Pork Sector

  • Brandt, Jon A.
  • Young, Robert E., II
  • Alam, Shamsul
  • Womack, Abner W.

The U.S. pork sector is modeled to simulate the effects of alternative import levels on prices, production, consumption, farm receipts, and consumer expenditures. Over the 1983-1985 period, producers annually received $600 million less due to increasing imports than if imports had remained at the 1979-1982 average. Farm prices and slaughter were lower by $2.21 per hundredweight and .1 million head annually, respectively. Four simulations reflecting alternative import paths over the period 1986-1992 were examined. With lower imports (relative to current levels), production and farm prices rise significantly in the long run; consumers purchase less and pay more.

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Article provided by Southern Agricultural Economics Association in its journal Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics.

Volume (Year): 19 (1987)
Issue (Month): 02 (December)

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Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:30217
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