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Biophysical Simulation In Support Of Crop Production Decisions: A Case Study In The Blacklands Region Of Texas

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  • Dillon, Carl R.
  • Mjelde, James W.
  • McCarl, Bruce A.

Abstract

Economic feasibility of Texas Blacklands corn production in relation to sorghum, wheat, and cotton is studied. Biophysical simulation generated yield data are integrated with an economic decision model using quadratic programming. Given the various scenarios analyzed, corn is economically feasible for the Blacklands. A crop mix of half corn and half cotton production is selected under risk neutrality with wheat entering if risk aversion is present. Corn and grain sorghum production are highly substitutable. Profit effects attributed to changing corn planting dates are more pronounced than profit changes resulting from altering corn population or maturity class.

Suggested Citation

  • Dillon, Carl R. & Mjelde, James W. & McCarl, Bruce A., 1989. "Biophysical Simulation In Support Of Crop Production Decisions: A Case Study In The Blacklands Region Of Texas," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 21(01), July.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:sojoae:30189
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Harris, Thomas R. & Mapp, Harry P., Jr., 1980. "A Control Theory Approach To Optimal Irrigation Scheduling In The Oklahoma Panhandle," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 12(01), July.
    2. Jeffrey Apland & Bruce A. McCarl & William L. Miller, 1980. "Risk and the Demand for Supplemental Irrigation: A Case Study in the Corn Belt," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 62(1), pages 142-145.
    3. Katherine H. Reichelderfer & Filmore E. Bender, 1979. "Application of a Simulative Approach to Evaluating Alternative Methods for the Control of Agricultural Pests," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 61(2), pages 258-267.
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    1. Oriade, Caleb A. & Dillon, Carl R., 1997. "Developments in biophysical and bioeconomic simulation of agricultural systems: a review," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 17(1), pages 45-58, October.
    2. Lee, John G. & Lovejoy, Stephen B., 1991. "Integrated Assessment Of Environmental Effects From Agricultural Production," Northeastern Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 20(1), April.
    3. Oriade, Caleb A. & Dillon, Carl R., 1997. "Developments in biophysical and bioeconomic simulation of agricultural systems: a review," Agricultural Economics of Agricultural Economists, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 17(1), October.
    4. Gramig, Benjamin M. & Yun, Seong Do, 2016. "Days Suitable for Fieldwork in the US Corn Belt:Climate, Soils and Spatial Heterogeneity," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, 2016, Boston, Massachusetts 235726, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    5. McCarl, Bruce A., 1992. "Mathematical Programming For Resource Policy Appraisal Under Multiple Objectives," Working Papers 11888, Environmental and Natural Resources Policy Training Project.
    6. Dillon, Carl R. & Oriade, Caleb A. & Parsch, Lucas D., 1998. "Production Risk Management Under Arkansas Soybean Rental Arrangements From The Tenant'S And Landlord'S Perspective," 1998 Annual meeting, August 2-5, Salt Lake City, UT 20781, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    7. Paudel, Krishna P. & Timilsina, Govinda R., 2010. "Would There Be Surplus Grains for Biofuels? An Assessment of Agro-economic Factors and Biofuel Production Potential at the Global Level," Staff Papers 113125, Louisiana State University, Department of Agricultural Economics and Agribusiness.
    8. Archer, David W. & Gesch, Russell W., 2002. "Implications Of Temperature-Activated Polymer Seed Coating For Crop Production In The Northern Corn Belt," 2002 Annual meeting, July 28-31, Long Beach, CA 19640, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    9. Kanakasabai, Murali & Dillon, Carl R. & Skees, Jerry R., 2001. "Microeconomic Evaluation Of Farm Risk Management Decisions In Kentucky," 2001 Annual Meeting, July 8-11, 2001, Logan, Utah 36178, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Dillon, Carl R. & Shearer, Scott A. & Mueller, Thomas, 2001. "A Mixed Integer, Nonlinear Programming Model Of Innovative Variable Rate Planting Date With Polymer Seed Coatings," 2001 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Chicago, IL 20572, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    11. Dillon, Carl R., 1992. "Microeconomic Effects Of Reduced Yield Variability Cultivars Of Soybeans And Wheat," Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(01), July.
    12. Larson, James A. & Mapp, Harry P. & Verhalen, Laval M. & Banks, J. C., 1996. "Adapting a cotton model for decision analyses: a yield-response evaluation," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 145-167.
    13. Popp, Michael P. & Dillon, Carl R. & Popp, Jennie S., 2004. "Transferability issues of soybean research: a regional example," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 81(3), pages 213-226, September.
    14. Popp, Michael P. & Dillon, Carl R. & Keisling, Terry C., 2003. "Economic and weather influences on soybean planting strategies on heavy soils," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 76(3), pages 969-984, June.
    15. Kanakasabai, Murali & Dillon, Carl R., 2004. "Potential For Farm Adaptation To Global Climatic Change In Kentucky," 2004 Annual meeting, August 1-4, Denver, CO 20422, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).

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    Keywords

    Crop Production/Industries;

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