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Improving Climate-Change Modeling of US Migration

Author

Listed:
  • Mark D. Partridge
  • Bo Feng
  • Mark Rembert

Abstract

Manmade climate change (CC) has catastrophic consequences. The United States has already experienced wholesale population realignment due to climate as households have relocated to the Sunbelt and West. The irony is that people are moving toward the heat and major storms associated with CC. As CC intensifies, with high rates of internal US factor mobility, firms and households will likely again relocate to areas with higher utility and profits, reducing CC costs. Yet current research typically focuses on CC costs in a given location without considering this realignment. We propose several avenues to overcome such shortcomings in US CC modeling.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark D. Partridge & Bo Feng & Mark Rembert, 2017. "Improving Climate-Change Modeling of US Migration," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 451-455, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:aea:aecrev:v:107:y:2017:i:5:p:451-55
    Note: DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171054
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    Cited by:

    1. Evelyn G. Shu & Jeremy R. Porter & Mathew E. Hauer & Sebastian Sandoval Olascoaga & Jesse Gourevitch & Bradley Wilson & Mariah Pope & David Melecio-Vazquez & Edward Kearns, 2023. "Integrating climate change induced flood risk into future population projections," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Jake Organ & David Dixon & Kira Villa, 2023. "Climate Change, Fertility and Sahelian Demographics," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 16(1), pages 1-1, May.
    3. Matteo Benetton & Simone Emiliozzi & Elisa Guglielminetti & Michele Loberto & Alessandro Mistretta, 2022. "Do house prices reflect climate change adaptation? Evidence from the city on the water," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 735, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    4. Brice B. Hanberry, 2020. "Compounded Heat and Fire Risk for Future U.S. Populations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-12, April.
    5. Qin Fan & Meri Davlasheridze, 2019. "Economic Impacts Of Migration And Brain Drain After Major Catastrophe: The Case Of Hurricane Katrina," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(01), pages 1-21, February.
    6. Ning Jia & Raven Molloy & Christopher Smith & Abigail Wozniak, 2023. "The Economics of Internal Migration: Advances and Policy Questions," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 61(1), pages 144-180, March.
    7. Agustín Indaco & Francesc Ortega, 2024. "Adapting to Climate Risk? Local Population Dynamics in the United States," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 61-106, March.
    8. Oliveira, Jaqueline & Pereda, Paula, 2020. "The impact of climate change on internal migration in Brazil," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • R23 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
    • R32 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Other Spatial Production and Pricing Analysis

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