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The Prediction Performance of the FRB-MIT-PENN Model of the U.S. Economy

Citations

Blog mentions

As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
  1. Ben Bernanke's Legacy
    by Stephen Williamson in Stephen Williamson: New Monetarist Economics on 2014-01-27 00:21:00
  2. What's a Macro Model Good For?
    by Stephen Williamson in Stephen Williamson: New Monetarist Economics on 2017-01-16 04:38:00

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
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Cited by:

  1. Cars Hommes & Kostas Mavromatis & Tolga Ozden & Mei Zhu, 2019. "Behavioral learning equilibria in the New Keynesian model," DNB Working Papers 654, Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department.
  2. Fildes, Robert & Stekler, Herman, 2002. "The state of macroeconomic forecasting," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 24(4), pages 435-468, December.
  3. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2022. "Probability assessments of an ice-free Arctic: Comparing statistical and climate model projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 520-534.
  4. Adam Elbourne & Coen Teulings, 2011. "The potential of a small model," CPB Discussion Paper 193.rdf, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  5. Christopher L. Gilbert & Duo Qin, 2007. "Representation in Econometrics: A Historical Perspective," Working Papers 583, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  6. Arshanapalli, Bala & Doukas, John, 1994. "Common stochastic trends in a system of Eurocurrency rates," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(6), pages 1047-1061, December.
  7. Lütkepohl, Helmut & Schlaak, Thore, 2019. "Bootstrapping impulse responses of structural vector autoregressive models identified through GARCH," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 41-61.
  8. Michael P. Clements & David I. Harvey, 2010. "Forecast encompassing tests and probability forecasts," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(6), pages 1028-1062.
  9. Xiaoming Cai & Wouter J. Den Haan & Jonathan Pinder, 2016. "Predictable Recoveries," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 83(330), pages 307-337, April.
  10. Juan Jose Echavarria & Mauricio Villamizar-Villegas, 2016. "Great expectations? evidence from Colombia’s exchange rate survey," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 25(1), pages 1-27, December.
  11. TERREGROSSA Salvatore, 2010. "On the Efficacy of Constraints on the Linear Combination Forecast Model," EcoMod2003 330700144, EcoMod.
  12. Prem P. Talwar & Edward J. Chambers, 1993. "Forecasting Provincial Business Indicator Variables and Forecast Evaluation," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 30(10), pages 1763-1773, December.
  13. John Geweke & Joel Horowitz & M. Hashem Pesaran, 2006. "Econometrics: A Bird’s Eye View," CESifo Working Paper Series 1870, CESifo.
  14. repec:rre:publsh:v:33:y:2003:i:1:p:85-103 is not listed on IDEAS
  15. repec:lan:wpaper:539557 is not listed on IDEAS
  16. Neroli Austin & Geordie Reid, 2017. "NZSIM: A model of the New Zealand economy for forecasting and policy analysis," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Bulletin, Reserve Bank of New Zealand, vol. 80, pages 1-14, January.
  17. Armstrong, J. Scott & Green, Kesten C. & Graefe, Andreas, 2015. "Golden rule of forecasting: Be conservative," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(8), pages 1717-1731.
  18. Ewa Ratuszny, 2015. "Risk Modeling of Commodities using CAViaR Models, the Encompassing Method and the Combined Forecasts," Dynamic Econometric Models, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 15, pages 129-156.
  19. Larson, William D. & Sinclair, Tara M., 2022. "Nowcasting unemployment insurance claims in the time of COVID-19," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 635-647.
  20. Bouras, Christos & Christou, Christina & Gupta, Rangan & Lesame, Keagile, 2023. "Forecasting state- and MSA-level housing returns of the US: The role of mortgage default risks," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
  21. Spanos, Aris, 1990. "The simultaneous-equations model revisited : Statistical adequacy and identification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 44(1-2), pages 87-105.
  22. Clark, Todd E. & McCracken, Michael W., 2001. "Tests of equal forecast accuracy and encompassing for nested models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 85-110, November.
  23. Emrah Gulay, 2018. "Comparing Simple Forecasting Methods and Complex Methods: A Frame of Forecasting Competition," Scientific Annals of Economics and Business (continues Analele Stiintifice), Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, vol. 65(2), pages 159-169, June.
  24. Alexandre Mathis & Andrew Brociner, 1994. "Retour vers le futur. Une analyse rétrospective des prévisions de MOSAÏQUE," Revue de l'OFCE, Programme National Persée, vol. 49(1), pages 207-228.
  25. G.W. Harrison, 1982. "Efficient and Optional Forecast Combinations," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 82-26, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  26. Matthew N. Luzzetti & Lee E. Ohanian, 2012. "The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money after 75 Years: The Importance of Being in the Right Place at the Right Time," Chapters, in: Thomas Cate (ed.), Keynes’s General Theory, chapter 7, Edward Elgar Publishing.
  27. Ericsson, Neil R., 2017. "Economic forecasting in theory and practice: An interview with David F. Hendry," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 523-542.
  28. Francis X. Diebold & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 2019. "Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections," PIER Working Paper Archive 19-021, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania.
  29. Andrew B. Martinez & Jennifer L. Castle & David F. Hendry, 2022. "Smooth Robust Multi-Horizon Forecasts," Advances in Econometrics, in: Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling, volume 43, pages 143-165, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
  30. Justin van de Ven, 2017. "Exploring the Importance of Incentive Responses for Policy Projections," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 10(3), pages 134-164.
  31. Chauvet, Marcelle & Potter, Simon, 2013. "Forecasting Output," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 141-194, Elsevier.
  32. Morgan Westéus, 2014. "Settlement probability asymmetries in the Swedish Labour Court," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 485-512, December.
  33. Clements, Michael P. & Reade, J. James, 2020. "Forecasting and forecast narratives: The Bank of England Inflation Reports," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 1488-1500.
  34. Hommes, Cars & Zhu, Mei, 2014. "Behavioral learning equilibria," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 778-814.
  35. repec:lan:wpaper:413 is not listed on IDEAS
  36. Karine Bouthevillain & Alexandre Mathis, 1995. "Prévisions : mesures, erreurs et principaux résultats," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 285(1), pages 89-100.
  37. Francis X. Diebold, 1998. "The Past, Present, and Future of Macroeconomic Forecasting," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 12(2), pages 175-192, Spring.
  38. Niraj Poudyal & Aris Spanos, 2022. "Model Validation and DSGE Modeling," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-25, April.
  39. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2018_022 is not listed on IDEAS
  40. Gulan, Adam, 2018. "Paradise lost? A brief history of DSGE macroeconomics," Research Discussion Papers 22/2018, Bank of Finland.
  41. Carol Taylor West & Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., 2004. "Assessing the Historical Accuracy of Regional Economic Forecasts," Urban/Regional 0404009, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  42. Cars Hommes & Kostas Mavromatis & Tolga Özden & Mei Zhu, 2023. "Behavioral learning equilibria in New Keynesian models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 14(4), pages 1401-1445, November.
  43. Sarno, Lucio & Thornton, Daniel L & Valente, Giorgio, 2005. "Federal Funds Rate Prediction," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 37(3), pages 449-471, June.
  44. Stephen K. McNees, 1990. "Man vs. model? The role of judgment in forecasting," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Jul, pages 41-52.
  45. William Conrad, 1977. "Imperfect Observation and Systematic Policy Error," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 6, number 3, pages 247-258, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  46. Slanicay Martin, 2014. "Some Notes on Historical, Theoretical, and Empirical Background of DSGE Models," Review of Economic Perspectives, Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 1-20, June.
  47. Qing Zhou & Robert Faff, 2017. "The complementary role of cross-sectional and time-series information in forecasting stock returns," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 42(1), pages 113-139, February.
  48. Hommes, C.H. & Zhu, M., 2016. "Behavioral Learning Equilibria, Persistence Amplification & Monetary Policy," CeNDEF Working Papers 16-03, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
  49. Cai, Xiaoming & Den Haan, Wouter J. & Pinder, Jonathan, 2016. "Predictable recoveries," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 65188, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  50. Pu Chen & Joachim Frohn, 2006. "On the specification and estimation of large scale simultaneous structural macroeconometric models," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 90(1), pages 9-25, March.
  51. Michael Wickens, 2014. "How Useful are DSGE Macroeconomic Models for Forecasting?," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 171-193, February.
  52. David F. Hendry, 2020. "A Short History of Macro-econometric Modelling," Economics Papers 2020-W01, Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford.
  53. Armstrong, J Scott, 1978. "Forecasting with Econometric Methods: Folklore versus Fact," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 51(4), pages 549-564, October.
  54. Mitchell, James & Robertson, Donald & Wright, Stephen, 2016. "What univariate models tell us about multivariate macroeconomic models," EMF Research Papers 08, Economic Modelling and Forecasting Group.
  55. Adam Elbourne & Coen Teulings, 2011. "The potential of a small model," CPB Discussion Paper 193, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
  56. repec:hal:wpspec:info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1umfa09lat09b1bg is not listed on IDEAS
  57. Christopher L. Gilbert & Duo Qin, 2005. "The First Fifty Years of Modern Econometrics," Working Papers 544, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
  58. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1umfa09lat09b1bg is not listed on IDEAS
  59. Busetti, Fabio & Marcucci, Juri, 2013. "Comparing forecast accuracy: A Monte Carlo investigation," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 13-27.
  60. repec:lan:wpaper:470 is not listed on IDEAS
  61. Cross, Jamie & Poon, Aubrey, 2016. "Forecasting structural change and fat-tailed events in Australian macroeconomic variables," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 34-51.
  62. Zhao, Mingjun, 2007. "Monetary policy under misspecified expectations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 1278-1299, April.
  63. M. Manzur, 1987. "How Much are Exchange Rate Forecasts Worth?," Economics Discussion / Working Papers 87-01, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
  64. Paul Hubert, 2010. "Monetary Policy, Imperfect Information and the Expectations Channel," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1u, Sciences Po.
  65. John D. Levendis, 2018. "Time Series Econometrics," Springer Texts in Business and Economics, Springer, number 978-3-319-98282-3, August.
  66. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/f4rshpf3v1umfa09lat09b1bg is not listed on IDEAS
  67. repec:lan:wpaper:425 is not listed on IDEAS
  68. Clements, Michael P., 2003. "Some possible directions for future research," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 1-3.
  69. Karine Bouthevillain, 1993. "La prévision macro-économique : précision relative et consensus," Économie et Prévision, Programme National Persée, vol. 108(2), pages 97-126.
  70. Elkin Castaño Vélez & Luis Fernando Melo Velandia, 2000. "Metodos de combinacion de pronosticos: una aplicacion a la inflacion," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 52, pages 113-165, Enero Jun.
  71. Fang, Yue, 2003. "Forecasting combination and encompassing tests," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(1), pages 87-94.
  72. Heuts, R.M.J., 1978. "Portfolio models and time series analysis," Other publications TiSEM 48458631-edc8-42e9-8359-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
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