Caught On Tape: Predicting Institutional Ownership With Order Flow
AbstractMany questions about institutional trading behavior can only be answered if one can track institutional equity ownership continuously, yet institutional ownership data are only available on quarterly reporting dates. We infer institutional trading behavior from the “tape”, the Transactions and Quotes database of the New York Stock Exchange, by regressing quarterly changes in reported institutional ownership on quarterly buy and sell volume in different trade size categories. We find that institutions in aggregate demand liquidity, in that total buy (sell) volume predicts increasing (decreasing) institutional ownership. Institutions also tend to trade in large or very small sizes, in that buy (sell) volume at these sizes predicts increasing (decreasing) institutional ownership, while the pattern reverses at intermediate trade sizes that are favored by individuals. Our regression method predicts institutional ownership significantly better than the simple cutoff rules used in previous research.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by EconWPA in its series Finance with number 0405012.
Length: 36 pages
Date of creation: 06 May 2004
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institutions; individuals; trading behavior; execution;
Other versions of this item:
- John Y. Campbell & Tarun Ramadorai & Tuomo O. Vuolteenaho, 2004. "Caught on Tape: Predicting Institutional Ownership With Order Flow," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2046, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
- G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
- G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2004-05-09 (All new papers)
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