IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/fth/harver/2046.html

Caught on Tape: Predicting Institutional Ownership With Order Flow

Author

Listed:
  • John Y. Campbell
  • Tarun Ramadorai
  • Tuomo O. Vuolteenaho

Abstract

Many questions about institutional trading can only be answered if one can track institutional equity ownership continuously. However, these data are only available on quarterly reporting dates. We infer institutional trading behavior from the "tape," the Transactions and Quotes database of the New York Stock Exchange, by regress- ing quarterly changes in reported institutional ownership on quarterly buy and sell volume in different trade size categories. Our regression method predicts institutional ownership signifcantly better than the simple cutoff rules used in previous research. We also find that total buy (sell) volume predicts increasing (decreasing) institutional ownership, consistent with institutions demanding liquidity in aggregate. Furthermore, institutions tend to trade in large or very small sizes: buy (sell) volume at these sizes predicts increasing (decreasing) institutional ownership, while the pattern reverses at intermediate trade sizes that appear favored by individuals. We then explore changes in institutional trading strategies. Institutions appear to prefer medium size trades on high volume days and large size trades on high volatility days.

Suggested Citation

  • John Y. Campbell & Tarun Ramadorai & Tuomo O. Vuolteenaho, 2004. "Caught on Tape: Predicting Institutional Ownership With Order Flow," Harvard Institute of Economic Research Working Papers 2046, Harvard - Institute of Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:harver:2046
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.economics.harvard.edu/pub/hier/2004/HIER2046.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Asani Sarkar & Robert A. Schwartz, 2009. "Market Sidedness: Insights into Motives for Trade Initiation," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 64(1), pages 375-423, February.
    2. Asani Sarkar & Robert A. Schwartz, 2006. "Two-sided markets and intertemporal trade clustering: insights into trading motives," Staff Reports 246, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    3. Natashekara, Karthik & Sampath, Aravind, 2024. "Informed trading and cryptocurrencies. New evidence using tick-by-tick data," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    4. Tan, Xiaoyu & Zhang, Zili & Zhao, Xuejun & Wang, Chengxiang, 2021. "Investor sentiment and limits of arbitrage: Evidence from Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 577-595.
    5. Tsai, Shih-Chuan, 2013. "Investors' information advantage and order choices in an order-driven market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 932-951.
    6. Ascioglu, Asli & Comerton-Forde, Carole & McInish, Thomas H., 2011. "Stealth trading: The case of the Tokyo Stock Exchange," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 194-207, April.
    7. Charlie Charoenwong & David K. Ding & Tiong Yang Thong, 2016. "Decimalization, IPO aftermath, and liquidity," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 47(4), pages 1303-1344, November.
    8. Brian J. Bushee & Theodore H. Goodman, 2007. "Which Institutional Investors Trade Based on Private Information About Earnings and Returns?," Journal of Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 289-321, May.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fth:harver:2046. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thomas Krichel (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/ieharus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.