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Market sidedness: insights into motives for trade initiation

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Author Info
Asani Sarkar
Robert A. Schwartz
Abstract

In this paper, we infer motives for trade initiation from market sidedness. We define trading as more two-sided (one-sided) if the correlation between the numbers of buyer- and seller-initiated trades increases (decreases), and assess changes in sidedness (relative to a control sample) around events that identify trade initiators. Consistent with asymmetric information, trading is more one-sided prior to merger news. Consistent with belief heterogeneity, trading is more two-sided (1) before earnings and macro announcements with greater dispersions of analyst forecasts and (2) after earnings and macro news events with larger announcement surprises. A simultaneous equation system is used to examine the co-determinacy of sidedness, the bid-ask spread, volatility, the number of trades, and the order imbalance.

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Paper provided by Federal Reserve Bank of New York in its series Staff Reports with number 292.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fednsr:292

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Keywords: Financial markets ; Stock market ; Corporate governance ; Human behavior;

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    Other versions:
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  12. Cushing, David & Madhavan, Ananth, 2000. "Stock returns and trading at the close," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 3(1), pages 45-67, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  17. Easley, David & Kiefer, Nicholas M & O'Hara, Maureen, 1997. "One Day in the Life of a Very Common Stock," Review of Financial Studies, Oxford University Press for Society for Financial Studies, vol. 10(3), pages 805-35.
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  19. Ellis, Katrina & Michaely, Roni & O'Hara, Maureen, 2000. "The Accuracy of Trade Classification Rules: Evidence from Nasdaq," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(04), pages 529-551, December. [Downloadable!]
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