Forecasting investment needs in South Africa's electricity and telecommunications sectors
AbstractThe authors use a panel-data set for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecommunications services and project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecommunications for the current growth scenario (3.6 percent a year) are of the order of 0.2 percent and 0.75 percent of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6 percent a year) implies approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 3829.
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2006
Date of revision:
Economic Theory&Research; Investment and Investment Climate; Banks&Banking Reform; Achieving Shared Growth; ICT Policy and Strategies;
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-AFR-2006-01-29 (Africa)
- NEP-ALL-2006-01-29 (All new papers)
- NEP-ENE-2006-01-29 (Energy Economics)
- NEP-FOR-2006-01-29 (Forecasting)
- NEP-MAC-2006-01-29 (Macroeconomics)
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