Forecasting Investment Needs In South Africa'S Electricity And Telecom Sectors
AbstractThe paper uses 52-country panel-data for the period 1980-2002 to estimate demand for electricity and telecom services and, based on these estimates, project investment needs in South Africa through 2010 for two growth scenarios. Projections of average annual investment needs in electricity and telecom for the current growth scenario (3.6% per annum) are of the order of 0.2% and 0.75% of GDP, respectively. An alternative, accelerated growth scenario (6% per annum) implies an approximate doubling of investment needs in these sectors. Copyright (c) 2006 The Authors. Journal compilation (c) 2006 Economic Society of South Africa.
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Bibliographic InfoArticle provided by Economic Society of South Africa in its journal South African Journal of Economics.
Volume (Year): 74 (2006)
Issue (Month): 3 (09)
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Other versions of this item:
- Å½eljko Bogetic & Johannes Fedderke, 2005. "Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa's Electricity and Telecom Sectors," Working Papers 36, Economic Research Southern Africa.
- H54 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Infrastructures
- H - Public Economics
- R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics
- O - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth
- O57 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Comparative Studies of Countries
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- Tania Ajam & Aron Janine, 2007.
"Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa,"
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- Tania Ajam & Janine Aron, 2007. "Fiscal Renaissance in a Democratic South Africa," CSAE Working Paper Series 2007-10, Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford.
- Fedderke, J.W. & Bogetic, Z., 2009.
"Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures,"
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- Fedderke, Johannes W. & Bogetic & Zeljko, 2006. "Infrastructure and growth in South Africa : direct and indirect productivity impacts of 19 infrastructure measures," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3989, The World Bank.
- Johannes Fedderke & Å½eljko Bogetic, 2005. "Infrastructure and Growth in South Africa: Direct and Indirect Productivity Impacts of 19 Infrastructure Measures," Working Papers 39, Economic Research Southern Africa.
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