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Roads out of poverty? assessing the links between aid, public investment, growth, and poverty reduction

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Author Info
Agenor, Pierre-Richard
Bayraktar, Nihal
El Aynaoui, Karim

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Abstract

The authors develop a macroeconomic framework that captures links between aid, public investment, growth, and poverty. Public investment is disaggregated into education, infrastructure, and health, and affects both aggregate supply and demand. Dutch disease effects are captured by accounting for changes in the relative price of domestic goods. The authors assess the impact of policy shocks on poverty by linking the model to a household survey. They calibrate the model for Ethiopia and simulate the changes in the allocation of aid and public investment. The authors also calculate the amount by which foreign aid should increase to reach the poverty targets of the Millennium Development Goals.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 3490.

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Date of creation: 01 Jan 2005
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:3490

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Related research
Keywords: Decentralization; Economic Theory&Research; Labor Policies; Environmental Economics&Policies; Payment Systems&Infrastructure; Inequality; Environmental Economics&Policies; Economic Theory&Research; Economic Stabilization; Banks&Banking Reform;

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  1. Agenor, Pierre-Richard & Bayraktar, Nihal & Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel & El Aynaoui, Karim, 2005. "Achieving the Millennium Development Goals in Sub-Saharan Africa : a macroeconomic monitoring framework," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3750, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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  2. Mogues, Tewodaj & Ayele, Gezagehn & Paulos, Zelekawork & Fan, Shenggen, 2006. "How Effective is Public Spending? Public Investment Composition and Rural Welfare in Ethiopia," 2006 Annual meeting, July 23-26, Long Beach, CA 21258, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association). [Downloadable!]
  3. Bourguignon, Francois & Diaz-Bonilla, Carolina & Lofgren, Hans, 2008. "Aid, service delivery, and the millennium development goals in an economy-wide framework," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4683, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  4. Volker Clausen & Hannah Schürenberg-Frosch, 2009. "Aid, Spending Strategies and Productivity Effects – A Multi-sectoral CGE Analysis for Zambia," Ruhr Economic Papers 0127, Rheinisch-Westfälisches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Universität Dortmund, Universität Duisburg-Essen. [Downloadable!]
  5. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Peter J. Montiel, 2007. "Monetary Policy Analysis in a Small Open Credit-Based Economy," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 90, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
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  6. Paternostro, Stefano & Rajaram, Anand & Tiongson, Erwin R., 2005. "How does the composition of public spending matter?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3555, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Peter Rangazas & Alex Mourmouras, 2006. "Foreign Aid Policy and Sources of Poverty: A Quantitative Framework," IMF Working Papers 06/14, International Monetary Fund. [Downloadable!]
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