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Macroeconomic adjustment and the poor : analytical issues and cross-country evidence

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Author Info
Agenor, Pierre-Richard

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Abstract

The author studies the links between macroeconomic adjustment and poverty. First, he summarizes some of the recent evidence on poverty in the developing world. Second, he reviews the various channels through which macroeconomic policies affect the poor. Third, the author emphasizes the role of the labor market. He develops an analytical framework that captures some of the main features of the urban labor market in developing countries and studies the effects of fiscal adjustment on wages, employment, and poverty. Fourth, he presents cross-country regressions linking various macroeconomic and structural variables to poverty. The author finds that output growth and real exchange rate depreciations tend to lower poverty, while illiteracy, income inequality, and macroeconomic volatility tend to increase poverty. In addition, the impact of growth on poverty appears to be asymmetric, and to result from a significant relationship between episodes of increasing poverty and negative growth rates.

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Paper provided by The World Bank in its series Policy Research Working Paper Series with number 2788.

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Date of creation: 28 Feb 2002
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Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:2788

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Related research
Keywords: Labor Policies; Economic Theory&Research; Services&Transfers to Poor; Environmental Economics&Policies; Economic Conditions and Volatility; Environmental Economics&Policies; Achieving Shared Growth; Economic Theory&Research; Inequality; Poverty Assessment;

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  1. Jean-Paul MINVIELLE, 2007. "PolysŽmie des approches monŽtaires de la pauvretŽ : le dilemme rural-urbain au SŽnŽgal," Discussion Papers (REL - Recherches Economiques de Louvain) 2007024, Université catholique de Louvain, Institut de Recherches Economiques et Sociales (IRES). [Downloadable!]
  2. Vatcharin Sirimaneetham, 2006. "Explaining policy volatility in developing countries," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 06/583, Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK. [Downloadable!]
  3. Pierre Richard Agénor, 2006. "External Shocks and the Urban Poor," The School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 0607, Economics, The University of Manchester. [Downloadable!]
  4. Brigitte Granville, 2006. "Integrating poverty reduction in IMF-World Bank Models," Working Papers id:502, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  5. Mathan Satchi & Jonathan Temple, 2006. "Growth and labour markets in developing countries," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 06/581, Department of Economics, University of Bristol, UK. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Gul, Adnan, 2008. "Pakistan’s Public Debt: The shocks and aftershocks," MPRA Paper 11427, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  7. Hong-Ghi Min, 2002. "Inequality, the price of nontradables, and the real exchange rate : theory and cross-country evidence," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2758, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  8. Brigitte Granville & Sushanta Mallick, 2005. "How best to link poverty reduction and debt sustainability in IMF--World Bank models?," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 19(1), pages 67-85, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Bautista, Romeo M., 2003. "Exchange Rate Policy in Philippine Development," Research Paper Series, Philippine Institute for Development Studies, number rps_2003-01. [Downloadable!]
  10. Rolf Maier, 2005. "External Debt and Pro-Poor Growth," Macroeconomics 0504031, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  11. Arnim Langer and Frances Stewart (QEH), . "Macro Adjustment Policies and Horizontal Inequalities," QEH Working Papers qehwps158, Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford. [Downloadable!]
  12. Hyun H. Son & Nanak Kakwani, 2006. "Global Estimates of Pro-Poor Growth," Working Papers 31, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth. [Downloadable!]
  13. Guillaumont, Patrick & Korachais, Catherine & Subervie, Julie, 2008. "How Macroeconomic Instability Lowers Child Survival," Working Papers RP2008/51, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  14. Christian A. Emini & Hippolyte Fofack, 2004. "A financial social accounting matrix for the integrated macroeconomic model for poverty analysis : application to Cameroon with a fixed-price multiplier analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3219, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  15. Claessens, Stijn, 2005. "Taking stock of risk management techniques for sovereigns," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3570, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  16. Mathan Satchi & Jonathan Temple, 2009. "Labor Markets and Productivity in Developing Countries," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(1), pages 183-204, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  17. Calderon, Cesar & Yeyati, Eduardo Levy, 2009. "Zooming in : from aggregate volatility to income distribution," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4895, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  18. Agenor, Pierre-Richard, 2004. "Unemployment - poverty trade-offs," Policy Research Working Paper Series 3297, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
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