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Foreign aid, growth and poverty: A policy framework for Niger

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  • Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel
  • Bayraktar, Nihal

Abstract

This paper extends the dynamic macroeconomic framework developed by Agénor et al. [Agénor, P. -R., Bayraktar, N., & Aynaoui, K. E. (2006, July). Roads out of Poverty? Assessing the Links between Aid, Public Capital, Growth, and Poverty Reduction. World Bank, Revised.]. As in the original model, linkages between foreign aid, public investment (education, infrastructure, and health) and growth are explicitly captured, but this time in a fixed nominal exchange rate regime. Although the nominal exchange rate is fixed, the relative price of domestic goods is endogenous, thereby allowing for potential Dutch disease effects associated with increases in aid. The impact of policy shocks on poverty is assessed by using partial growth elasticities. A policy experiment of increasing foreign aid illustrates the dynamic trade-offs between growth and poverty reduction in Niger.

Suggested Citation

  • Pinto Moreira, Emmanuel & Bayraktar, Nihal, 2008. "Foreign aid, growth and poverty: A policy framework for Niger," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(3), pages 523-539.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:30:y:2008:i:3:p:523-539
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    3. Lofgren, Hans & Cicowiez, Martin, 2021. "Infrastructure in CGE models: Alternative formulations, empirical evidence, and a new approach," Conference papers 333280, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    4. Annen, Kurt & Batu, Michael & Kosempel, Stephen, 2016. "Macroeconomic effects of foreign aid and remittances: Implications for aid effectiveness studies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 1136-1146.
    5. Hannah Schürenberg-Frosch, 2014. "Improving Africa's Roads: Modelling Infrastructure Investment and Its Effect on Sectoral Production Behaviour," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 32(3), pages 327-353, May.
    6. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2020. "Aid for Trade flows and Poverty Reduction in Recipient-Countries," EconStor Preprints 213807, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    7. Aykut Mert Yakut & Ebru Voyvoda, 2017. "Intertemporal CGE Analysis of Income Distribution in Turkey," ERC Working Papers 1703, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Feb 2017.
    8. Baliamoune-Lutz, Mina, 2009. "Institutions, trade, and social cohesion in fragile states: Implications for policy conditionality and aid allocation," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 877-890, November.

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