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Mean-Variance Econometric Analysis of Household Portfolios

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  • Raffaele Miniaci
  • Sergio Pastorello

Abstract

We investigate households' portfolio choice using a microeconometric approach derived from mean-variance optimization. We assume that households have heterogeneous expectations on the distribution of excess returns and that they can't take short positions in the risky assets. Assuming two such assets, we derive an explicit solution of the model characterized by four possible portfolio regimes, which are analyzed using two structural probit and tobit specifications with three latent state variables. Both specifications are estimated by weighted maximum likelihood on a cross section of US household drawn from the 2004 SCF. The tobit specification is simulated in order to evaluate the regressors' effects on regimes probabilities and asset demands. We also asses to what extent the predicted state variables are consistent with the self-reported expected returns and risk aversion elicited from the SCF questionnaire.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Brescia, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0807.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:ubs:wpaper:0807

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Cited by:
  1. Alessandro Fedele & Paolo M. Panteghini & Sergio Vergalli, 2011. "Optimal Investment and Financial Strategies under Tax‐Rate Uncertainty," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 12(4), pages 438-468, November.
  2. Hurd, Michael & Van Rooij, Marten & Winter, Joachim, 2010. "Stock Market Expectations of Dutch Households," MEA discussion paper series 10206, Munich Center for the Economics of Aging (MEA) at the Max Planck Institute for Social Law and Social Policy.
  3. Alessandra Del Boca & Michele Fratianni & Franco Spinelli & Carmine Trecroci, 2009. "The Phillips curve and the Italian lira, 1861-1998," Working Papers 0908, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  4. Alessandro Fedele & Raffaele Miniaci, 2009. "Do social enterprises finance their investments differently from for-profit firms? The case of social residential services in Italy," Working Papers 0911, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  5. Francesco Menoncin & Paolo Panteghini, 2009. "Retrospective Capital Gains taxation in the real world," Working Papers 0910, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  6. Rosella Levaggi & Francesco Menoncin, 2009. "Decentralized provision of merit and impure public goods," Working Papers 0909, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  7. Tas, Derya & Calvo-Pardo, Hector & Arrondel, Luc, 2012. "Subjective Return Expectations, Information and Stock Market Participation : Evidence from France," Economics Papers from University Paris Dauphine 123456789/9805, Paris Dauphine University.
  8. Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2010. "Markets and contracts," Economics Working Papers ECO2010/29, European University Institute.
    • Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Heracles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Markets and Contracts," Working Papers 0915, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  9. Martin Meier & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Competitive Markets with Private Information on Both Sides," Working Papers 0917, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  10. Alessandro Fedele & Francesco Liucci & Andrea Mantovani, 2009. "Credit availability in the crisis: the European investment bank group," Working Papers 0913, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  11. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic-Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis," Working Papers 1002, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.

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