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Retrospective Capital Gains Taxation in the Real World

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  • Francesco Menoncin
  • Paolo Panteghini

Abstract

In this article, we analyze Auerbach's (1991) proposal of a retrospective capital gains tax, which is equivalent to an accrual tax on an ex-ante basis. Using a continuous-time model with stochastic interest rates, we prove that equivalence holds even if the risk-free asset return is correlated with other risky assets' returns. However, equivalence fails to hold on an ex-post basis. In other words, if an investor faces a huge gain (loss), the effective tax rate under this system is less (higher) than that what would be due under an accrual tax system. This leads to a fairness problem. For this reason, we also find the conditions that ensure equivalence on an ex-post basis. As will be shown, however, ex-post equivalence can be achieved only if a huge amount of information is available, making its implementation a hard task.

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Paper provided by CESifo Group Munich in its series CESifo Working Paper Series with number 2674.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_2674

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Keywords: capital gains; risk; taxation;

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Cited by:
  1. Michael Funke & Marc Gronwald, 2009. "A Convex Hull Approach to Counterfactual Analysis of Trade Openness and Growth," CESifo Working Paper Series 2692, CESifo Group Munich.
  2. Alessandro Fedele & Raffaele Miniaci, 2009. "Do social enterprises finance their investments differently from for-profit firms? The case of social residential services in Italy," Working Papers 0911, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  3. Alessandro Fedele & Paolo M. Panteghini & Sergio Vergalli, 2011. "Optimal Investment and Financial Strategies under Tax‐Rate Uncertainty," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 12(4), pages 438-468, November.
  4. Monica Billio & Roberto Casarin, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation of Stochastic-Transition Markov-Switching Models for Business Cycle Analysis," Working Papers 1002, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  5. Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2010. "Markets and contracts," Economics Working Papers ECO2010/29, European University Institute.
    • Alberto Bisin & John Geanakoplos & Piero Gottardi & Enrico Minelli & Heracles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Markets and Contracts," Working Papers 0915, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  6. Alessandro Fedele & Francesco Liucci & Andrea Mantovani, 2009. "Credit availability in the crisis: the European investment bank group," Working Papers 0913, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  7. Martin Meier & Enrico Minelli & Herakles Polemarchakis, 2009. "Competitive Markets with Private Information on Both Sides," Working Papers 0917, University of Brescia, Department of Economics.
  8. Francesco Menoncin & Paolo M. Panteghini, 2012. "Ex-Post Equivalence under Capital Gains Taxation," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1671-1679.

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