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Outward Population Shifts: Towards a Greater Understanding of Residential Behaviour

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  • Peter Howley

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    (Rural Economy and Development Programme, Teagasc, Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland)

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    Abstract

    Policy prescription in most Western societies has increasingly favoured urban intensification policies in order to ensure a more sustainable development pattern. In particular, it is now widely felt that residential decisions concerning where to live profoundly affect, among other things, environmental pollution, resource use and land and habitat loss. Using the central area of Dublin city as a case study, this paper focuses specifically on garnering a better understanding of the residential behaviour of residents who have moved into new relatively high-density residential environments. This is a group who have made the choice to move into a relatively high-density urban area and hence it will be revealing to assess the motives, preferences and future intentions of this residential population. Findings suggest that the ultimate residential preference of the majority of residents in these areas is for lower density rural and suburban locations which call into question the long term success of urban intensification efforts. Results from a logit model of residential mobility indicate that stage in their life-cycle, satisfaction with both the dwelling and the neighbourhood emerge as significant predictors of respondents intended future mobility patterns.

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    File URL: http://www.agresearch.teagasc.ie/rerc/downloads/workingpapers/08wpre22.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2008
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Rural Economy and Development Programme,Teagasc in its series Working Papers with number 0822.

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    Length: 27 pages
    Date of creation: 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:tea:wpaper:0822

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    Postal: Athenry, Co Galway
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    Web page: http://www.agresearch.teagasc.ie/rerc/
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    1. Richard Arnott & Alex Anas & Kenneth Small, 1997. "Urban Spatial Structure," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 388., Boston College Department of Economics.
    2. Anas, Alex & Arnott, Richard J. & Small, Kenneth A., 2000. "The Panexponential Monocentric Model," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 165-179, March.
    3. Malachy McEldowney & Tim Ryley & Mark Scott & Austin Smyth, 2005. "Integrating Land-use Planning and Transportation in Belfast: A New Policy Agenda for Sustainable Development?," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(4), pages 507-526.
    4. Peter Mieszkowski & Edwin S. Mills, 1993. "The Causes of Metropolitan Suburbanization," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 7(3), pages 135-147, Summer.
    5. Mark Davidson & Loretta Lees, 2005. "New-build ‘gentrification’ and London’s riverside renaissance," Environment and Planning A, Pion Ltd, London, vol. 37(7), pages 1165-1190, July.
    6. Albert Chevan, 1971. "Family growth, household density, and moving," Demography, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 451-458, November.
    7. Holly Barcus, 2004. "Urban-Rural Migration in the USA: An Analysis of Residential Satisfaction," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(6), pages 643-657.
    8. Richard Williams, 2006. "Review of Regression Models for Categorical Dependent Variables Using Stata, Second Edition, by Long and Freese," Stata Journal, StataCorp LP, vol. 6(2), pages 273-278, June.
    9. Mills, Edwin S, 1995. "Crisis and Recovery in Office Markets," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 10(1), pages 49-62, January.
    10. Edwin S. Mills & Luan Sende Lubuele, 1997. "Inner Cities," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(2), pages 727-756, June.
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