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Urban Growth and Transportation

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Author Info
Duranton, Gilles
Turner, Matthew A

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Abstract

We estimate the effects of major roads and public transit on the growth of major cities in the US between 1980 and 2000. We find that a 10% increase in a city’s stock of roads causes about a 2% increase in its population and employment and a small decrease in its share of poor households over this 20 year period. We also find that a 10% increase in a city’s stock of large buses causes about a 0.8% population increase and a small increase in the share of poor households over this period. To estimate these effects we rely on an instrumental variables estimation which uses a 1947 plan of the interstate highway system and an 1898 map of railroads as instruments for 1980 roads.

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Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 6633.

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Date of creation: Jan 2008
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:6633

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Related research
Keywords: instrumental variables; public transport; transportation; urban growth;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
L91 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Transportation and Utilities - - - Transportation: General
N70 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - General, International, or Comparative
R11 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Analysis of Growth, Development, and Changes
R49 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Transportation Systems - - - Other

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  1. Thomas J. Holmes & Sanghoon Lee, 2007. "Cities as Six-By-Six-Mile Squares: Zipf’s Law?," NBER Chapters, in: The Economics of Agglomeration National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!]
  2. Kristian Behrens & Frédéric Robert-Nicoud, 2009. "Survival of the Fittest in Cities: Agglomeration, Polarization, and Income Inequality," Cahiers de recherche 0919, CIRPEE. [Downloadable!]
  3. Kristian Behrens & Frédéric Robert-Nicoud, 2008. "Survival of the Fittest in Cities: Agglomeration, Selection and Polarisation," SERC Discussion Papers 0012, Spatial Economics Research Centre, LSE. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Diego Puga, 2008. "Agglomeration and cross-border infrastructure," Working Papers 2008-06, Instituto Madrileño de Estudios Avanzados (IMDEA) Ciencias Sociales. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Gilles Duranton & Matthew A. Turner, 2009. "The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: Evidence from US cities," NBER Working Papers 15376, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  6. Edward L. Glaeser & Joshua D. Gottlieb, 2009. "The Wealth of Cities: Agglomeration Economies and Spatial Equilibrium in the United States," NBER Working Papers 14806, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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