International financial integration allows countries to become net creditors or net debtors with respect to the rest of the world. In this paper, we show that a small set of fundamentals-shifts in relative output levels, the stock of public debt and demographic factors-can do much to explain the evolution of net foreign asset positions. In addition, we highlight that "external wealth" plays a critical role in determining the behavior of the trade balance, both through shifts in the desired net foreign asset position and the investment returns generated on the outstanding stock of net foreign assets. Finally, we provide some evidence that a portfolio balance effect exists: real interest rate differentials are inversely related to net foreign asset positions.
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Paper provided by Trinity College Dublin, Department of Economics in its series CEG Working Papers with number
20018.
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Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2002.
"Long-Term Capital Movements,"
NBER Chapters,
in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, pages 73-136
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
Sebastian Edwards, 2002.
"Does the Current Account Matter?,"
NBER Chapters,
in: Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets, pages 21-76
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Aart Kraay & Norman Loayza & Luis Servén & Jaume Ventura, 2000.
"Country portfolios,"
Economics Working Papers
913, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
[Downloadable!]
Aart Kraay & Norman Loayza & Luis Serven & Jaume Ventura, 2000.
"Country Portfolios,"
NBER Working Papers
7795, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Cited by: (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.) This item has more than 25 citations. To prevent cluttering this page, these citations are listed on a separate page.