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Economic Impact of Political Cycles – The Relevance of European experinces for Romania

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Jula, Dorin ()

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Abstract

The research was dedicated to the analysis of the interactions between political processes and economic activities. Explicitly, the research focussed on the theoretical and empirical study concerning the economic impact of political cycles and, especially, to evaluate the relevance of European experiences for Romania. The analysis was focused to the following subjects: to overview the existent literature on the interactions between political processes and economic activities – political implications of the economic status (the so-called vote – popularity function), and economic impact of the political behaviours – the political business cycles (section 1); to analyse specific features of the vote – popularity functions and the political business cycles in the developed economies and, especially, in the European Union Countries, by over viewing relevant empirical studies (section 2); to survey the literature concerning models and empirical evidences of the interactions between political processes and economic activity for the developing countries (section 3) and for the East European Candidate Countries (section 4); to analyse the interactions between the political processes and the economic dynamics in Romania – macroeconomic signals of the political business cycles, and estimation of regional vote-popularity function (section 5); to discuss the consequences of political business cycles for the processes of transition and the European integration (section 6).

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Paper provided by Institute for Economic Forecasting in its series Working Papers of Institute for Economic Forecasting with number 081101.

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Length: 54 pages
Date of creation: Nov 2008
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Handle: RePEc:rjr:wpiecf:081101

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation and Testing
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
O11 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
P26 - Economic Systems - - Socialist Systems and Transition Economies - - - Political Economy
R50 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Regional Government Analysis - - - General

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  3. Clark, William Roberts & Reichert, Usha Nair, 1998. "International and Domestic Constraints on Political Business Cycles in OECD Economies," International Organization, MIT Press, vol. 52(1), pages 87-120, Winter.
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  20. Daviddi, Renzo & Ilzkovitz, Fabienne, 1997. "The Eastern enlargement of the European Union: Major challenges for macro-economic policies and institutions of Central and East European countries," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(3-5), pages 671-680, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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