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Long memory in stock market volatility and the volatility-in-mean effect: the FIEGARCH-M model

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Author Info
Bent Jesper Christensen () (University of Aarhus and CREATES)
Jie Zhu () (University of Aarhus and CREATES)
Morten Ørregaard Nielsen () (Queen's University and CREATES)

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Abstract

We extend the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH (FIEGARCH) model for daily stock return data with long memory in return volatility of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) by introducing a possible volatility-in-mean effect. To avoid that the long memory property of volatility carries over to returns, we consider a filtered FIEGARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) effect in the return equation. The filtering of the volatility-in-mean component thus allows the co-existence of long memory in volatility and short memory in returns. We present an application to the daily CRSP value-weighted cum-dividend stock index return series from 1926 through 2006 which documents the empirical relevance of our model. The volatility-in-mean effect is significant, and the FIEGARCH-M model outperforms the original FIEGARCH model and alternative GARCH-type specifications according to standard criteria.

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File URL: http://www.econ.queensu.ca/working_papers/papers/qed_wp_1207.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Queen's University, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 1207.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: Jun 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:qed:wpaper:1207

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Related research
Keywords: FIEGARCH; financial leverage; GARCH; long memory; risk-return tradeoff; stock returns; volatility feedback;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions

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  1. Bent Jesper Christensen & Morten Ørregaard Nielsen, 2007. "The Effect of Long Memory in Volatility on Stock Market Fluctuations," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 89(4), pages 684-700, 05. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Merton, Robert C, 1973. "An Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 41(5), pages 867-87, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. " Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-78, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  4. Crato, Nuno & de Lima, Pedro J. F., 1994. "Long-range dependence in the conditional variance of stock returns," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 45(3), pages 281-285. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-70, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Lawrence R. Glosten & Ravi Jagannathan & David E. Runkle, 1993. "On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks," Staff Report 157, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Peter M Robinson, 2001. "The Memory of Stochastic Volatility Models," STICERD - Econometrics Paper Series /2001/410, Suntory and Toyota International Centres for Economics and Related Disciplines, LSE. [Downloadable!]
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  8. Yu, Jun, 2005. "On leverage in a stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 165-178, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  9. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.


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