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The Determinants of Technology Adoption by UK Farmers using Bayesian Model Averaging. The Cases of Organic Production and Computer Usage

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  • Balcombe, Kelvin
  • Tiffin, R

Abstract

We introduce and implement a reversible jump approach to Bayesian Model Averaging for the Probit model with uncertain regressors. This approach provides a direct estimate of the probability that a variable should be included in the model. Two applications are investigated. The �rst is the adoption of organic systems in UK farming, and the second is the in�uence of farm and farmer characteristics on the use of a computer on the farm. While there is a correspondence between the conclusions we would obtain with and without model averaging results, we �find important di¤erences, particularly in smaller samples.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 25193.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:25193

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Keywords: Agriculture; Adoption; Model Averaging; Organic; Computer;

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  1. Carmen Fernandez & E Ley & Mark F J Steel, 2004. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian models averaging," ESE Discussion Papers 66, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
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