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Democracy, Diversification, and Growth Reversals

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  • Cuberes, David
  • Jerzmanowski, Michal

Abstract

There is much evidence that less democratic countries experience more high-frequency growth volatility. In this paper we report a similar finding about volatility in the medium term: we find evidence that reversals of trend-growth are sharper and more frequent in non-democracies. Motivated by this evidence, we construct a model in which non-democracies have high barriers of entry for new firms. This leads to less sectoral diversification and so, in an uncertain environment, to larger growth swings in less democratic countries. We present empirical evidence that confirms the positive relation between democracy and industrial diversification.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 11646.

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Date of creation: Oct 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11646

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Keywords: medium term growth; growth volatility; democracy; diversification;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. BOUCEKKINE, Raouf & PINTUS, Patrick A., . "History's a curse: leapfrogging, growth breaks and growth reversals under international borrowing without commitment," CORE Discussion Papers RP -2450, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  2. Gnidchenko, Andrey, 2011. "Моделирование Технологических И Институциональных Эффектов В Макроэкономическом Прогнозировании
    [Technologica
    ," MPRA Paper 35484, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised May 2011.
  3. Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick A. Pintus, 2012. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain : the Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration," Documents de recherche 12-14, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
  4. Adam, Antonis & Delis, Manthos D & Kammas, Pantelis, 2009. "Are democratic governments more efficient?," MPRA Paper 15843, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Seim, Anna Larsson & Parente, Stephen L., 2013. "Democracy as a middle ground: A unified theory of development and political regimes," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 35-56.
  6. Starosta de Waldemar, Felipe, 2010. "How costly is rent-seeking to diversification: an empirical approach," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Hannover 2010 4, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
  7. Madeeha Gohar Qureshi & Eatzaz Ahmed, 2012. "The Inter-linkages between Democracy and Per Capita GDP Growth: A Cross Country Analysis," PIDE-Working Papers 2012:85, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
  8. Raouf Boucekkine & Giorgio Fabbri & Patrick Pintus, 2012. "Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: The Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration The Conditional Welfare Gains from International Financial Integration," AMSE Working Papers 1202, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, Marseille, France, revised 12 Feb 2012.

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