This paper presents an analysis of the determinants of re-employment probabilities for young workers in the U.S. Using data from the new National Longitudinal Survey youth cohort a model is developed to analyze the transition probabilities from nonemployment to employment. The key factors examined include personal characteristics, unemployment income, local demand conditions, and duration dependence. There are significant differences between the labor market experiences of whites and nonwhites, and males and females. High school dropouts have many more difficulties in the labor market than those who remain in school longer and/or receive other types of training. Local demand conditions are a strong determinant of the duration of spells of nonemployment and there appears to be strong evidence of negative duration dependence in re-employment probabilities for both young males and young females.
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number
2021.
Length: Date of creation: Sep 1986 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:2021
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Robert H. Meyer & David A. Wise, 1982.
"High School Preparation and Early Labor Force Experience,"
NBER Chapters,
in: The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, pages 277-348
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Albert Rees & Wayne Gray, 1982.
"Family Effects in Youth Employment,"
NBER Chapters,
in: The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, pages 453-474
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
Kim B. Clark & Lawrence H. Summers, 1982.
"The Dynamics of Youth Unemployment,"
NBER Chapters,
in: The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, pages 199-234
National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!]
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