When Less Developed Countries (LDCs) announce debt relief agreements under the Brady Plan, their stock markets appreciate by an average of 60 percent in real dollar terms a $42 billion increase in shareholder value. In contrast, there is no significant stock market increase for a control group of LDCs that do not sign Brady agreements. The results persist after controlling for IMF programs, trade liberalizations, capital account liberalizations, and privatization programs. The stock market appreciations successfully forecast higher future net resource transfers, investment and growth. Creditors also benefit from the Brady Plan. Controlling for other factors, stock prices of US commercial banks with significant LDC loan exposure rise by 35 percent a $13 billion increase in shareholder value. The results suggest that debt relief can generate large efficiency gains when the borrower suffers from debt overhang.
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Length: Date of creation: Jan 2004 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:10217
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Article
Serkan Arslanalp & Peter Blair Henry, 2005.
"Is Debt Relief Efficient?,"
Journal of Finance,
American Finance Association, vol. 60(2), pages 1017-1051, 04.
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F3 - International Economics - - International Finance F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
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Serkan Arslanalp & Peter Blair Henry, 2006.
"Debt Relief,"
NBER Working Papers
12187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Arslanalp, Serkan & Henry, Peter B., 2006.
"Debt Relief,"
Research Papers
1931, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
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Cited by: (explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)
Serkan Arslanalp & Peter Blair Henry, 2006.
"Debt Relief,"
NBER Working Papers
12187, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
[Downloadable!] (restricted)
Other versions:
Arslanalp, Serkan & Henry, Peter B., 2006.
"Debt Relief,"
Research Papers
1931, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
[Downloadable!]