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Adjustment in Local Labour and Housing Markets

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Author Info
Arthur Grimes () (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)
David C. Maré () (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)
Melanie Morten () (Motu Economic and Public Policy Research)

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Abstract

This paper analyses local labour and hosuing market adjustment in New Zealand from 1989 to 2006. We use a VAR approach to examine the adjustment of employment, employment rate, participation rate, wages, and house prices in response to employment shocks. Migration is a major adjustment response at both a national and regional level. Nationally, a 1% positive employment shock leads to a long-run level of employment 1.3% higher, with half of the extra jobs filled by migrants. A 1% region-specific employment shock raises the long-run regional share of employment by 0.5 percentage points, due entirely to in-migration. House price responses differ at different spatial scales. Nationally, house prices are very responsive to employment shocks: a 1% employment shock raising long run house prices by 6% , as may be expected with an upward sloping housing supply curve. Paradoxically, this relationship does not hold at the regional level.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Motu Economic and Public Policy Research in its series Working Papers with number 07_10.

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Length: 48 pages
Date of creation: Aug 2007
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Handle: RePEc:mtu:wpaper:07_10

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Web page: http://www.motu.org.nz
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Related research
Keywords: Regional Labour Market Adjustment; Internal Migration; House Prices; Vector Autoregression;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
R23 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Regional Migration; Regional Labor Markets; Population
J61 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies - - - Geographic Labor Mobility; Immigrant Workers
C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Paolo Mauro & Antonio Spilimbergo, 1998. "How Do the Skilled and the Unskilled Respond to Regional Shocks? The Case of Spain," IMF Working Papers 98/77, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Benkwitz, Alexander & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Wolters, Jürgen, 1999. "Comparison of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for Impulse Responses of German Monetary Systems," CEPR Discussion Papers 2208, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. David C. Maré & Jason Timmins, 2003. "Moving to Jobs?," Working Papers 03_07, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. Guy Debelle & James Vickery, 1998. "Labour Market Adjustment: Evidence on Interstate Labour Mobility," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp9801, Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  5. Love, Inessa & Zicchino, Lea, 2002. "Financial development and dynamic investment behavior : evidence from panel vector autoregression," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2913, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  6. Arthur Grimes & Andrew Aitken, 2004. "What's the Beef with House Prices? Economic Shocks and Local Housing Markets," Working Papers 04_08, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
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  7. Mark J. Holmes & Arthur Grimes, 2005. "Is there long-run convergence of regional house prices in the UK?," Working Papers 05_11, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
  8. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Lawrence F. Katz, 1992. "Regional Evolutions," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 23(1992-1), pages 1-76. [Downloadable!]
  9. Decressin, Jörg & Fatás, Antonio, 1994. "Regional Labour Market Dynamics in Europe," CEPR Discussion Papers 1085, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Arthur Grimes & David C. Maré & Melanie Morten, 2006. "Defining Areas: Linking Geographic Data in New Zealand," Working Papers 06_07, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
  11. repec:cup:macdyn:v:5:y:2001:i:1:p:81-100 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. Fredriksson, Peter, 1999. "The Dynamics of Regional Labor Markets and Active Labor Market Policy: Swedish Evidence," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 51(4), pages 623-48, October.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Steven Stillman & David C. Maré, 2008. "Housing Markets and Migration: Evidence from New Zealand," Working Papers 08_06, Motu Economic and Public Policy Research. [Downloadable!]
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