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Does it Matter How to Measure Aggregates? The Case of Monetary Transmission Mechanisms in the Euro Area

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Author Info
Andreas Beyer (European Central Bank)
Katarina Juselius (Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen)

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Abstract

Beyer, Doornik and Hendry (2000, 2001) show analytically that three out of four aggregation methods yield problematic results when exchange rate shifts induce relative-price changes between individual countries and found the least problematic method to be the variable weight method of growth rates. This papers shows, however, that the latter is sensitive to the choice of base year when based on real GDP weights whereas not on nominal GDP weights. A comparison of aggregates calculated with different methods shows that the differences are tiny in absolute value but highly persistent. To investigate the impact on the cointegration properties in empirical modelling, the monetary model in Coenen & Vega (2001) based on fixed weights was re-estimated using flexible real and nominal GDP weights. In general, the results remained reasonably robust to the choice of aggregation method.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number 08-07.

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Length: 25 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:kud:kuiedp:0807

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Related research
Keywords: aggregation flexible weights Eurowide money demand cointegration

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models
C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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  1. Beyer, Andreas & Doornik, Jurgen A & Hendry, David F, 2001. "Constructing Historical Euro-Zone Data," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 111(469), pages F102-21, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. G. Coenen & J.-L. Vega, 2001. "The demand for M3 in the euro area," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(6), pages 727-748. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Kongsted, Hans Christian, 2005. "Testing the nominal-to-real transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 205-225, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Mike Artis & Andreas Beyer, 2004. "Issues in Money Demand: The Case of Europe," Journal of Common Market Studies, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(4), pages 717-736, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Bosker, E.M., 2006. "On the aggregation of eurozone data," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 260-265, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Kenneth Rogoff, 1996. "The Purchasing Power Parity Puzzle," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 34(2), pages 647-668, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Nielsen, Bent & Rahbek, Anders, 2000. " Similarity Issues in Cointegration Analysis," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 62(1), pages 5-22, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2008-9-29.


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