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A Note on the Carlson-Parkin Method of Quantifying Qualitative Data Evidence Based on a New Data Set

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Author Info
Christian Müller () (KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich)
Aniela Wirz () (KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich)
Nora Sydow (KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich)

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Abstract

Qualitative surveys enjoy huge popularity among business cycle analysts and research institutes since they provide fast information on the stance of the economy. However, in order to derive quantitative statements researchers have to rely on assumptions about the relation between quantitative and qualitative information. This paper introduces a micro data set that combines individ- ual quantitative and qualitative information and presents first tests of com- mon assumptions. It suggests a modifcation of the Carlson and Parkin (1975) method and a solution to the zero response problem.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich in its series KOF Working papers with number 07-168.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2007
Date of revision: May 2007
Handle: RePEc:kof:wpskof:07-168

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Related research
Keywords: rational expectations; quantification; survey data;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C42 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Survey Methods
C82 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data
E2 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment
D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Carlson, John A & Parkin, J Michael, 1975. "Inflation Expectations," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 42(166), pages 123-38, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Ivaldi, Marc, 1992. "Survey Evidence on the Rationality of Expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 7(3), pages 225-41, July-Sept. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Steffen Henzel & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2005. "An Alternative to the Carlson-Parkin Method for the Quantification of Qualitative Inflation Expectations: Evidence from the Ifo World Economic Survey," Ifo Working Paper Series Ifo Working Papers No. 9, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich. [Downloadable!]
  4. McAleer, M. & Smith, J., 1990. "Alternative Procedures for Converting Qualitative Response Data to Quantitative Expectations: An Application to Australian Manufacturing," Papers 219, Australian National University - Department of Economics.
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