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Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in the ASEAN-5 Countries

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  • Mr. Vladimir Klyuev
  • To-Nhu Dao

Abstract

This paper examines exchange rate behavior in the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). It finds that for the last 10 years there is no evidence that their central banks target particular exchange rate levels against any currency or basket. Thus, contrary to some assertions, they do not belong to a U.S. dollar club, a Japanese yen club, a Chinese renminbi club, or an ASEAN club. At the same time, they clearly try to smooth short-term volatility, particularly vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar. The degree of smoothing declined noticeably after the Asian Financial Crisis and less obviously after the Global Financial Crisis, with heterogeneity across countries. Short-term smoothing without level targeting does not interfere with monetary policies aimed at price stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Vladimir Klyuev & To-Nhu Dao, 2016. "Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in the ASEAN-5 Countries," IMF Working Papers 2016/165, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2016/165
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeffrey Frankel & Shang-Jin Wei, 2008. "Estimation of De Facto Exchange Rate Regimes: Synthesis of the Techniques for Inferring Flexibility and Basket Weights," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 55(3), pages 384-416, July.
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    Cited by:

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    2. So Umezaki, 2019. "The Malaysian Economy after the Global Financial Crisis: International Capital Flows, Exchange Rates, and Policy Responses," Public Policy Review, Policy Research Institute, Ministry of Finance Japan, vol. 15(1), pages 69-98, July.
    3. Forhad, Md. Abdur Rahman & Alam, Md. Rafayet, 2022. "Impact of oil demand and supply shocks on the exchange rates of selected Southeast Asian countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    4. Siklos, Pierre L., 2018. "Boom-and-bust cycles in emerging markets: How important is the exchange rate?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 172-187.
    5. Chee Loong, Lee & Chun Hao, Laiu & Nur Hidayah, Ramli & Nur Sabrina, Mohd Palel, 2018. "Dynamic Interactions in Macroeconomic Activities," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 26(3), pages 1651-1672.
    6. Ain Shahrier, Nur, 2022. "Contagion effects in ASEAN-5 exchange rates during the Covid-19 pandemic," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2016. "Asean-5 Cluster Report: Evolution of Monetary Policy Frameworks," IMF Staff Country Reports 2016/176, International Monetary Fund.
    8. Muhammad Riyadh Ghozali Lubis & Noor Al-Huda Abdul Karim & Gan Pei Tha & Norimah Rambeli & Ramli, 2017. "Exchange Rate Effect on Gross Domestic Product in the Five Founding Members of ASEAN," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 7(11), pages 1284-1293, November.

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