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What is the Major Source of Business Cycles : Spillovers from Land Prices, Investment Shocks, or Anything Else?

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  • Shirota, Toyoichiro

Abstract

Some recent studies argue that spillovers from land prices into the aggregate economy are the crucial drivers of business cycles. Other studies stress the importance of investment shocks at business cycle frequencies. This study evaluates these two strands of the literature in a single unified framework by estimating a New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with a collateral constraint on investment financing. The results are twofold: (i) when these features are combined, neither shocks that drives most of land-price fluctuations nor investment shocks are the primary source of U.S. business cycles; and (ii) technology shocks play an important role in business cycles.

Suggested Citation

  • Shirota, Toyoichiro, 2018. "What is the Major Source of Business Cycles : Spillovers from Land Prices, Investment Shocks, or Anything Else?," Discussion paper series. A 323, Graduate School of Economics and Business Administration, Hokkaido University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hok:dpaper:323
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Source of business cycles; Land price dynamics; Investment shock; Collateral constraint; Bayesian estimation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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