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Unconventional monetary policy reaction functions: evidence from the US

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Agnello

    (Università degli studi di Palermo - University of Palermo)

  • Vitor Castro

    (Loughborough University, Universidade do Minho = University of Minho [Braga])

  • Gilles Dufrénot

    (AMSE - Aix-Marseille Sciences Economiques - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Fredj Jawadi

    (Université de Lille)

  • Ricardo Sousa

    (The Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE) - The Economic Policies Research Unit (NIPE), LSE - London School of Economics and Political Science)

Abstract

We specify unconventional monetary policy reaction functions for the Fed using linear and nonlinear econometric frameworks. We find that nonstandard policy measures are largely driven by the dynamics of inflation and the output gap, with the effect being particularly strong during QE rounds. Moreover, we uncover the presence of asymmetry and regime dependence in central bank's actions since the global financial crisis, especially concerning the response of the term spread and the shadow short rate to the growth rate of central bank reserves. From a policy perspective and given the lack of a systematic response of monetary policy to asset price growth in nonstandard times, our findings seem to corroborate the view that concerns about asset price bubbles, financial sector pro-cyclicality and systemic risk should be part of the macro-prudential policy toolkit.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Agnello & Vitor Castro & Gilles Dufrénot & Fredj Jawadi & Ricardo Sousa, 2020. "Unconventional monetary policy reaction functions: evidence from the US," Post-Print hal-03101417, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03101417
    DOI: 10.1515/snde-2018-0088
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://amu.hal.science/hal-03101417
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    2. Antal, Mark & Kaszab, Lorant, 2022. "Spillovers from the European Central Bank's asset purchases to countries in Central and Eastern Europe," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    central bank reserves; asset prices; nonlinear models; inflation; output gap; shadow short rate; term spread; unconventional monetary policy reaction function;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E53 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Deposit Insurance

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