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Spillover effects of fiscal policy in a monetary union : Why do fiscal instruments matter ?

Author

Listed:
  • Amélie Barbier-Gauchard

    (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

  • Thierry Betti

    (BETA - Bureau d'Économie Théorique et Appliquée - AgroParisTech - UNISTRA - Université de Strasbourg - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) - Université de Haute-Alsace (UHA) Mulhouse - Colmar - UL - Université de Lorraine - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - INRAE - Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement)

Abstract

Using a two‐country DSGE model, we analyse the spillover effects of fiscal policy in a monetary union. Based on a non‐Walrasian labour market with a labour force participation decision and involuntary unemployment and a detailed fiscal sector, we focus on the relative cross‐border effects of different kinds of fiscal shocks (government expenditure and tax shocks). Among the major lessons from this analysis, five general and striking results are worth highlighting : (1) spillover effects differ widely according to the fiscal instrument, (2) all fiscal instruments produce positive spillover effects on foreign GDP except a rise in government consumption, (3) the response of unemployment is not always negatively correlated with the response of output (4) the different fiscal shocks trigger different effects on foreign inflation and the term of trade, which implies heterogeneous interest‐rate and trade channels, and (5) a more accommodative monetary policy and a scenario of ‘fiscal dominance' alter greatly the effects of fiscal policy shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Thierry Betti, 2020. "Spillover effects of fiscal policy in a monetary union : Why do fiscal instruments matter ?," Post-Print hal-02545869, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-02545869
    DOI: 10.1111/boer.12231
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    1. Thierry BETTI, 2020. "Fiscal transfers in a two-level fiscal framework: stabilizing properties according to the fiscal instrument," Working Papers of BETA 2020-11, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.

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