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A Decade Lost and Found: Mexico and Chile in the 1980s

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Author Info
Raphael Bergoeing ()
Patrick J. Kehoe ()
Timothy J. Kehoe ()
Raimundo Soto ()

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Abstract

Chile and Mexico experienced severe economic crises in the early 1980s. This paper analyzes four possible explanations for why Chile recovered much faster than did Mexico. Comparing data from the two countries allows us to rule out a monetarist explanation, an explanation based on falls in real wages and real exchange rates, and a debt overhang explanation. Using growth accounting, a calibrated growth model, and economic theory, we conclude that the crucial difference between the two countries was the earlier policy reforms in Chile that generated faster productivity growth. The most crucial of these reforms were in banking and bankruptcy procedures.

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Paper provided by Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile in its series Documentos de Trabajo with number 110.

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Date of creation: 2001
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Handle: RePEc:edj:ceauch:110

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Burnside, Craig & Eichenbaum, Martin & Rebelo, Sergio, 1993. "Labor Hoarding and the Business Cycle," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 101(2), pages 245-73, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Douglas Gollin, 2001. "Getting Income Shares Right," Department of Economics Working Papers 192, Department of Economics, Williams College. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Alexis Camhi & Eduardo Engel & Alejandro Micco, 1997. "Dinámica de empleo y productividad en manufactura: Evidencia micro y consecuencias macro," Documentos de Trabajo 19, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile.
  4. Andrew Atkeson & Patrick J. Kehoe, 1995. "Industry evolution and transition: measuring investment in organization," Staff Report 201, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
  5. Sebastian Edwards, 1996. "A Tale of Two Crises: Chile and Mexico," NBER Working Papers 5794, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Konstantinos Angelopoulos & George Economides & Vangelis Vassilatos, 2008. "Do institutions matter for economic fluctuations? Weak property rights in a business cycle model for Mexico," Working Papers 2008_38, Department of Economics, University of Glasgow. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Guner, Nezih & Ventura, Gustavo & Xu, Yi, 2007. "Macroeconomic Implications of Size-Dependent Policies," CEPR Discussion Papers 6138, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Barseghyan, Levon & Jaimovich, Nir, 2004. "Undercapitalized Banks, Uncertain Government Policies, and Declines in Total Factor Productivity," Working Papers 04-05, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics. [Downloadable!]
  4. Jahangir Aziz, 2008. "Deconstructing China’s and India’s Growth: The Role of Financial Policies," Working Papers id:1714, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  5. Rodrigo Vergara & Rosario Rivero, 2005. "Productividad Sectorial en Chile: 1986-2001," Documentos de Trabajo 286, Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  6. Timothy J. Kehoe & Kim J. Ruhl, 2008. "Sudden stops, sectoral reallocations, and the real exchange rate," Staff Report 414, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. Orlando Gracia & Hernando Zuleta, 2005. "The Free Trade Agreement between Colombia and USA: What can happen to Colombia?," DEGIT Conference Papers c010_023, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  8. C Niranjan Rao, 2008. "The Role of Intellectual Property Rights in Information and Communication Technologies," Working Papers id:1742, esocialsciences.com. [Downloadable!]
  9. Ronald Fischer, 2008. "Economic performance, creditor protection and labor inflexibility," Documentos de Trabajo 250, Centro de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Chile. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Diego Restuccia & Richard Rogerson, 2008. "Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity with Heterogeneous Plants," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 11(4), pages 707-720, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Diego Restuccia, 2008. "The Latin American Development Problem," Working Papers tecipa-318, University of Toronto, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  12. Jahangir Aziz, . "Deconstructing China's and India's Growth: the Role of Financial Policies," Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi Working Papers 224, Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations, New Delhi, India. [Downloadable!]
  13. Rómulo A. Chumacero & Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel, 2004. "General Equilibrium Models: An Overview," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 307, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
  14. Rodrigo Garcá-Verdú, 2005. "Factor Shares from Household Survey Data," DEGIT Conference Papers c010_057, DEGIT, Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade. [Downloadable!]
  15. Chakraborty, Suparna, 2008. "Indian Economic Growth: Lessons for the Emerging Economies," Working Papers RP2008/67, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER). [Downloadable!]
  16. Jean-Philippe Cotis & Jonathan Coppel, 2005. "Business Cycle Dynamics in OECD Countries: Evidence, Causes and Policy Implications," RBA Annual Conference Volume, in: Christopher Kent & David Norman (ed.), The Changing Nature of the Business Cycle Reserve Bank of Australia. [Downloadable!]
  17. Lucas Navarro & Raimundo Soto, 2006. "Procyclical Productivity in Manufacturing," Cuadernos de Economía (Latin American Journal of Economics), Instituto de Economía. Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile., vol. 43(127), pages 193-220. [Downloadable!]
  18. Moisa Altar & Ciprian Necula & Gabriel Bobeica, 2009. "A Robust Assessment of the Romanian Business Cycle," Advances in Economic and Financial Research - DOFIN Working Paper Series 28, Bucharest University of Economics, Center for Advanced Research in Finance and Banking - CARFIB. [Downloadable!]
  19. David Greenstreet, 2007. "Exploiting Sequential Learning to Estimate Establishment-Level Productivity Dynamics and Decision Rules," Economics Series Working Papers 345, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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