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Germany and the Euro Area: Differences in the Transmission Process of Monetary Policy

Author

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  • Kirstin Hubrich

    (De Nederlandsche Bank)

  • Peter J. G. Vlaar

    (De Nederlandsche Bank)

Abstract

This study analyses the transmission of monetary policy in Germany for the EMS period in the framework of a structural vector error correction model (S-VECM) analysis. Cointegration relations derived from economic theory are tested within the Johansen framework in the first step. Three stable long-run relationships are found: a money demand relation, an interest rate spread and a stationary real interest rate. Based on the system taking these long-run relations into account, contemporaneous and long-run restrictions proposed by economic theory are imposed in the second step of the analysis identifying five structural shocks to the economy. The outcome of the analysis of the German monetary transmission process is compared to the findings of aggregated euro-area studies. The results indicate differences in real effects of monetary policy between Germany and other euro area countries. This finding highlights the importance to consider the national experiences in the context of monetary policy of the ECB.

Suggested Citation

  • Kirstin Hubrich & Peter J. G. Vlaar, 2000. "Germany and the Euro Area: Differences in the Transmission Process of Monetary Policy," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 1802, Econometric Society, revised 08 Nov 2000.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecm:wc2000:1802
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Martha Misas Arango & Enrique López Enciso & Juana Téllez Corredor & José Fernando Escobar, 2005. "La Inflación Subyacente en Colombia: Un Enfoque de Tendencias Estocásticas Comunes Asociadas a un VEC Estructural," Borradores de Economia 324, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Brand, Claus & Cassola, Nuno, 2000. "A money demand system for euro area M3," Working Paper Series 0039, European Central Bank.
    4. Claus Brand & Nuno Cassola, 2004. "A money demand system for euro area M3," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(8), pages 817-838.
    5. Nikolaus A. Siegfried, 2002. "An information-theoretic extension to structural VAR modelling," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 20203, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
    6. Anna Piretti & Charles St-Arnaud, 2006. "Launching the NEUQ: The New European Union Quarterly Model, A Small Model of the Euro Area and U.K. Economies," Staff Working Papers 06-22, Bank of Canada.

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